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HOME›TEAMS›OHIO STATE›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
BIG TEN|RYAN DAY|—RECORD11-2|CONF—
OHIO STATE#4 AP 3 FPIB1G · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
99FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
14%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#420 BC / 21
BC RATIO
79%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
11-1ACTUALvs10.6-1.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+25.3
11 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE99
PERFORMANCE99
TALENT90
CONTINUITY14
DEFENSE70
PERFORMANCE70
TALENT88
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
59MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HNOTRE DAME#18W 21-10937373+25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HARKANSAS STATE—W 45-12371919+79BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HTOLEDO—W 77-21433838+60BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HWISCONSIN—W 52-21826868+30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HRUTGERS—W 49-10612727+71BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8AMICHIGAN STATE—W 49-20764949+49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HIOWA—W 54-10748080+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29APENN STATE#7W 44-31909595+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5ANORTHWESTERN—W 21-7671616+82BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HINDIANA—W 56-14743131+67BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19AMARYLAND—W 43-30737676+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HMICHIGAN#3L 23-45919999-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 31AGEORGIA#1L 41-4299100100-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB76TAL98PERF76RET100ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
C.J. STROUDQB JURET
★4—8995%+37—
6
KYLE MCCORDQB SERET
★5★4295%+33FELL
13
DEVIN BROWNQB JUNO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
19
CHAD RAYQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
MASON MAGGSQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB64TAL89PERF64RET71ROTATIONn=3 · 5 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
MIYAN WILLIAMSRB SERET
★4—8234%+28—
32
TREVEYON HENDERSONRB SERET
★5—8133%+17—
7
DALLAN HAYDENRB JUNO SNAPS
★4★37526%-12FELL
20
TC CAFFEYRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—232%+35—
26
CAYDEN SAUNDERSRB JURET
UNR—50%——
1
CHIP TRAYANUMRB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%+7FELL
6
EVAN PRYORRB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
26
CHASE BRECHTRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE75TAL93PERF78RET98ONE OWNERn=6 · 8 METRICS · 33 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
CADE STOVERTE SERET
★4—9864%-1—
18
MARVIN HARRISON JR.WR JURET
★4—9732%+32—
2
EMEKA EGBUKAWR SERET
★5—9531%+27—
3
JULIAN FLEMINGWR SERET
★5★48322%+6FELL
34
MITCH ROSSITE SERET
UNR—6418%——
XAVIER JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—618%-8—
88
GEE SCOTT JR.TE SERET
★4—5311%-47—
11
JAXON SMITH-NJIGBAWR JURET
★5—453%+3—
4
JAYDEN BALLARDWR SERET
★4★3412%—FELL
11
JOE ROYERTE SERET
★4★3353%—FELL
81
SAM HARTTE SERET
★4★3232%—FELL
86
REIS STOCKSDALEWR SERET
UNR—201%——
85
BENNETT CHRISTIANTE SENO SNAPS
★4—141%——
21
PATRICK GURDTE SERET
UNR★3141%—EMERGED
8
KALEB BROWNWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★3130%—FELL
6
KYION GRAYESWR SONO SNAPS
★4★3100%—FELL
KAMRYN BABBWR SERET
★4—70%——
11
KOJO ANTWIWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★370%—FELL
89
ZAK HERBSTREITTE SERET
UNR—40%——
10
CALEB BURTON IIIWR SONO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
83
JOOP MITCHELLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
25
KAI SAUNDERSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
CORBAN CLEVELANDWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
RIORDIN STAUFFERTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
80
BLAIZE EXLINEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
82
DAVID ADOLPHWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL78TAL86PERF78RET0n=6 · 3 METRICS · 17 OBS
▸DL74TAL92PERF74RET94n=12 · 8 METRICS · 60 OBS
▸LB75TAL91PERF75RET96n=4 · 10 METRICS · 26 OBS
▸DB44TAL83PERF44RET70n=10 · 6 METRICS · 48 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
C.J. HICKSHS RECRUITLB★5UNR
SONNY STYLESHS RECRUITS★5UNR
DEVIN BROWNHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
KENYATTA JACKSON JR.HS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
OMARI ABORHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
KALEB BROWNHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
KYION GRAYESHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
GABE POWERSHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
TEGRA TSHABOLAHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
CADEN CURRYHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT27 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SEVYN BANKSLSUCB★4UNR
CRAIG YOUNGKANSASLB★3UNR
JACOLBE COWANNORTH CAROLINADL★4UNR
LEJOND CAVAZOSNORTH CAROLINADB★4★3
JACK MILLER IIIFLORIDAQB★4UNR
DALLAS GANTTOLEDOLB★4UNR
BRYSON SHAWUSCS★3UNR
SAM WIGLUSZOHIOWRUNRUNR
RYAN WATTSTEXASDB★4UNR
CORMONTAE HAMILTONMEMPHISDL★3UNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#4NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
20OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9417COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST74% BACK74th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG74% BACK74th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST70%70th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE