SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2023 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›PURDUE›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
BIG TEN|RYAN WALTERS|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
PURDUE69 FPIB1G · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
66FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
58%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
59%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-10IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#680 BC / 18
BC RATIO
20%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-8ACTUALvs4.3-7.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-6.5
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE38
PERFORMANCE38
TALENT70
CONTINUITY58
DEFENSE32
PERFORMANCE32
TALENT70
CONTINUITY59
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
61MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HFRESNO STATE—L 35-39445555-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9AVIRGINIA TECH—W 24-17586666-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HSYRACUSE—L 20-35504040-8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HWISCONSIN—L 17-38797878-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HILLINOIS—W 44-19554444-12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AIOWA#24L 14-20716666-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HOHIO STATE#10L 7-41999898-66BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28ANEBRASKA—L 14-31855151-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AMICHIGAN#1L 13-4191100100-68BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HMINNESOTA—W 49-30595353-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ANORTHWESTERN—L 15-23634848-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HINDIANA—W 35-31663131+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB55TAL95PERF55RET0ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
HUDSON CARDQB SEPORTAL · TEXAS
★4★49292%+2HELD
15
RYAN BROWNEQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★3315%—HELD
18
BENNETT MEREDITHQB SEPORTAL · ARIZONA STATE
★3★3253%—HELD
17
CHRISTIAN GELOVQB SERET
UNR—00%——
19
KYLE ADAMSQB JURET
★2—00%——
▾RB51TAL41PERF51RET100ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 23 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
45
DEVIN MOCKOBEERB SERET
★3—9348%-10—
3
TYRONE TRACY JR.RB SERET
★3—8636%+35—
2
DYLAN DOWNINGRB SERET
★3★36515%-30HELD
41
BEN FURTNEYFB SERET
UNR—60%——
28
ADDAI LEWELLENRB SERET
UNR—00%——
20
BISHOP JOHNSONRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
MONDRELL DEANRB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
29
CHRISTIAN WOMACKRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE35TAL74PERF34RET64ONE OWNERn=6 · 8 METRICS · 43 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
DEION BURKSWR SERET
★3★49834%-22ROSE
8
TJ SHEFFIELDWR SERET
★3★39026%-15HELD
88
GARRETT MILLERTE SERET
★3★38949%-11HELD
2
ABDUR-RAHMAAN YASEENWR SERET
★4★37718%+7FELL
86
MAX KLARETE JURET
★3★47329%-5ROSE
10
JAYDEN DIXON-VEALWR SENO SNAPS
★3★36913%-44HELD
87
DREW BIBERTE SERET
★3★36014%-45HELD
81
GEORGE BURHENNTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—508%——
25
ZION STEPTOEWR SERET
★3★3493%—HELD
12
JARON TIBBSWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3453%—HELD
26
ANDREW SOWINSKIWR SERET
UNR—443%-38—
9
MERSHAWN RICEWR SERET
★3★3402%+9HELD
5
ELIJAH CANIONWR SERET
★3★3221%—HELD
4
ARHMAD BRANCHWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
91
BEN BUECHELTE JURET
UNR—00%——
89
PAUL PIFERITE SERET
★3—00%+7—
7
JAHMAL EDRINEWR SEPORTAL · FLORIDA ATLANTIC
★3★300%+27HELD
6
CURTIS DEVILLEWR SORET
★4★400%—HELD
36
RYNE SHACKELFORDWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
35
HAYDEN PARISEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
34
BEN VAN NOORDWR SORET
UNR—00%——
17
TREY FIRESTONEWR SORET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
83
ANDREW ADKISONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
87
MADDIX BOGUNIA-BRIGHTWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
84
NOLAN BUCKMANWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL46TAL67PERF46RET51n=8 · 3 METRICS · 23 OBS
▸DL43TAL76PERF43RET67n=9 · 5 METRICS · 41 OBS
▸LB62TAL47PERF62RET100n=6 · 11 METRICS · 45 OBS
▸DB35TAL69PERF35RET38n=9 · 8 METRICS · 49 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DRAKE CARLSONHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
WILL HELDTHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
ARHMAD BRANCHHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
GEORGE BURHENNHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
JAMARRION HARKLESSHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
RYNE SHACKELFORDHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DILLON THIENEMANHS RECRUITS★3UNR
ETHON COLEHS RECRUITS★3UNR
WINSTON BERGLUNDHS RECRUITS★3UNR
RYAN BROWNEHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN11 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
HUDSON CARDTEXASQB★4★4
BRAXTON MYERSOLE MISSS★4★3
JEFFREY M'BAAUBURNDL★3★3
JAHMAL EDRINEFLORIDA ATLANTICWR★3★3
ANTHONY BROWNARKANSASSUNR★3
SALIM TURNER-MUHAMMADSTANFORDCB★4★3
PRESTON NICHOLSUNLVIOLUNR★3
ISAIAH NICHOLSARKANSASDL★3★3
BENNETT MEREDITHARIZONA STATEQB★3★3
JALEN GRANTBOWLING GREENIOL★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT43 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ERIC MILLERLOUISVILLEOL★3★3
SPENCER HOLSTEGEUCLAOL★3★3
SIONE FINAUARIZONA STATEOL★3UNR
JACK SULLIVANUSCDL★3★4
BRANSON DEENMIAMIDT★3★4
JAMARI BROWNMISSISSIPPI STATECB★3★3
LAWRENCE JOHNSONAUBURNDL★3★3
JACOB WAHLBERGWESTERN MICHIGANLB★3★3
KOBE LEWISFLORIDA ATLANTICRB★2★2
MICHAEL ALAIMOKENT STATEQB★4★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES52%11 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS55%9 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#68NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8533COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1525 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST36% BACK36th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG36% BACK36th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR51%51th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST38%38th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE