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● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
BIG TEN|RYAN WALTERS|—RECORD1-11|CONF—
PURDUE122 FPIB1G · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
74FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
57%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
67%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-10IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#295 BC / 25
BC RATIO
22%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
1-11ACTUALvs1.2-10.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-24.2
1 wins against a scoring profile describing 1.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE36
PERFORMANCE36
TALENT76
CONTINUITY57
DEFENSE8
PERFORMANCE8
TALENT70
CONTINUITY67
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
70MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
6 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HINDIANA STATE—W 49-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14HNOTRE DAME#2L 7-66939595-85BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21AOREGON STATE—L 21-38472828-18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HNEBRASKA—L 10-28846666-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5AWISCONSIN—L 6-52815656-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12AILLINOIS#16L 49-50557777-67BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18HOREGON#3L 0-35969999-89BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HNORTHWESTERN—L 20-26612424-14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9AOHIO STATE#1L 0-4599100100-90BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HPENN STATE#5L 10-49939797-87BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22AMICHIGAN STATE—L 17-24713333-23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30AINDIANA#10L 0-66599292-82BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB52TAL89PERF52RET99ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
HUDSON CARDQB SERET
★4★47673%-8HELD
15
RYAN BROWNEQB JURET
★3★36326%-9HELD
17
CHRISTIAN GELOVQB SERET
UNR—71%——
18
BENNETT MEREDITHQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
16
MARCOS DAVILAQB FRTRUE FR
★4★300%—FELL
20
CARSON KITCHELQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB62TAL44PERF62RET60ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
45
DEVIN MOCKOBEERB SERET
★3—9060%-14—
23
REGGIE LOVE IIIRB SEPORTAL · ILLINOIS
★3★37632%-33HELD
3
JAHEIM MERRIWEATHERRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★3395%-4HELD
0
ELIJAH JACKSONRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR★3192%—EMERGED
41
BEN FURTNEYFB SERET
UNR—91%——
22
ANTONIO HARRISRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
ADDAI LEWELLENRB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE62TAL76PERF46RET56ONE OWNERn=9 · 8 METRICS · 44 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
86
MAX KLARETE JURET
★3★49673%+33ROSE
7
JAHMAL EDRINEWR SERET
★3★38324%+23HELD
12
JARON TIBBSWR SERET
★3★38223%-25HELD
7
SHAMAR RIGBYWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★37116%-42HELD
8
DE'NYLON MORRISSETTEWR SEPORTAL · GEORGIA
★4★36812%-8FELL
87
DREW BIBERTE SERET
★3★36725%-21HELD
4
KAM BROWNWR SEPORTAL · UCLA
★4★3608%+9FELL
1
CJ SMITHWR SEPORTAL · GEORGIA
★4★3556%+6FELL
0
LELAND SMITHWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★3545%-21EMERGED
26
ANDREW SOWINSKIWR SERET
UNR—463%-39—
10
JAYDEN DIXON-VEALWR SERET
★3★3301%-42HELD
81
GEORGE BURHENNTE JURET
★3—272%-1—
4
ARHMAD BRANCHWR JURET
★3★3181%—HELD
11
TRA'MAR HARRISWR SONO SNAPS
★3—130%——
10
JESSE WATSONWR SONO SNAPS
★3—130%——
36
RYNE SHACKELFORDWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
88
TAYVION GALLOWAYTE SONO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
83
ANDREW ADKISONWR JURET
★3—00%——
84
NOLAN BUCKMANWR JURET
UNR—00%——
88
DONOVAN HAMILTONWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
87
ADAM KIDDERWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
89
LUKE KLARETE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
90
JAMES HARDYTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL42TAL79PERF42RET58n=5 · 3 METRICS · 15 OBS
▸DL49TAL75PERF50RET75n=13 · 8 METRICS · 52 OBS
▸LB49TAL38PERF49RET90n=4 · 11 METRICS · 29 OBS
▸DB46TAL71PERF46RET58n=9 · 8 METRICS · 52 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TARRION GRANTHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
KOY BEASLEYHS RECRUITS★4UNR
LUKE WILLIAMSHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
MARCOS DAVILAHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
TAYVION GALLOWAYHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
D'MON MARABLEHS RECRUITS★3UNR
EARL KULPHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
TRA'MAR HARRISHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
SHAMAR RIGBYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAHEIM MERRIWEATHERHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN11 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NYLAND GREENGEORGIACB★4★4
DE'NYLON MORRISSETTEGEORGIAWR★4★3
CJ SMITHGEORGIAWR★4★3
REGGIE LOVE IIIILLINOISRB★3★3
JIREH OJATAFRANKLIN COLLEGEEDGEUNR★3
JOEY TANONANOTRE DAMEOT★4★3
KYNDRICH BREEDLOVECOLORADOCB★3★3
COREY STEWARTBALL STATEOT★2★3
DJ WINGFIELDNEW MEXICOIOLUNR★3
CJ MADDENGEORGIAEDGE★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT32 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NIC SCOURTONTEXAS A&MDL★4★4
DEION BURKSOKLAHOMAWR★3★4
JOSH KALTENBERGERMARYLANDOL★3★3
TJ SHEFFIELDUCONNWR★3★3
CLYDE WASHINGTONUTAH STATELB★3★2
OC BROTHERSUABLB★3UNR
ABDUR-RAHMAAN YASEENSOUTH FLORIDAWR★4★3
SULAIMAN KPAKAMISSISSIPPI STATEDL★3★3
KHORDAE SYDNORVANDERBILTDL★3★3
ZION STEPTOETULSAWR★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES36%3 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS70%8 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#29NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
5OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8716COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1828 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
4
12
4
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +5 W
IMPROVED12 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST69% BACK69th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG69% BACK69th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR58%58th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST58%58th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE