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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
BIG TEN|GREG SCHIANO|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
RUTGERS63 FPIB1G · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
62FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
85%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
57%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-4IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#334 BC / 30
BC RATIO
11%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
5-7ACTUALvs5.3-6.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-3.2
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE79
PERFORMANCE79
TALENT68
CONTINUITY85
DEFENSE11
PERFORMANCE11
TALENT67
CONTINUITY57
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
69MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 28HOHIO—W 34-3193939+8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6HMIAMI (OH)—W 45-17374040+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13HNORFOLK STATE—W 60-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 19HIOWA#17L 28-38709292-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27AMINNESOTA—L 28-31714949-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 10AWASHINGTON—L 19-38749191-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18HOREGON#4L 10-56979898-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25APURDUE—W 27-24613434+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1AILLINOIS—L 13-35548383-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HMARYLAND—W 35-20634545+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22AOHIO STATE#5L 9-42999999-52BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29HPENN STATE—L 36-40939090-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB35TAL46PERF35RET97ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
ATHAN KALIAKMANISQB SERET
★4★39397%+6FELL
10
AJ SURACEQB JURET
★4—262%——
6
SEAN ASHENFELDERQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
17
ROCCO RAINONEQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB75TAL66PERF75RET92ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
ANTWAN RAYMONDRB JURET
★3—9868%0—
20
JA'SHON BENJAMINRB SERET
★3—6919%-13—
0
CJ CAMPBELL JR.RB SEPORTAL · FLORIDA ATLANTIC
UNR★3476%+28EMERGED
27
SAMUEL BROWN VRB SERET
UNR★3414%-23—
23
EDD GUERRIERRB JURET
★3—272%——
26
TERRELL MITCHELLRB SONO SNAPS
★3—111%——
28
XAVIER WILLIAMSRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
30
REMI RODRIGUEZRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE51TAL86PERF52RET65ONE OWNERn=6 · 8 METRICS · 44 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
KJ DUFFWR JURET
★4—9932%+26—
0
DT SHEFFIELDWR SEPORTAL · NORTH TEXAS
UNR★39831%+11EMERGED
9
IAN STRONGWR SERET
★3★49426%+22ROSE
12
KENNY FLETCHER JR.TE SERET
★3—9254%+1—
18
COLIN WEBERTE SEPORTAL · CHARLOTTE
★3★38339%-8HELD
2
BEN BLACK IIIWR JURET
★3—669%-11—
11
LOGAN BLAKETE SERET
★3—517%-45—
7
DYLAN BRAITHWAITEWR SERET
★3—231%——
14
SAH'NYE DEGRAFFENREIDTWR SONO SNAPS
★3—191%——
4
JOURDIN HOUSTONWR SONO SNAPS
★3—191%——
80
MICHAEL THOMAS IIIWR SONO SNAPS
★4—180%——
83
DINO KALIAKMANISWR SERET
★3★3150%—HELD
5
VERNON ALLEN IIIWR SONO SNAPS
★3—110%——
82
JACKSON GISTERTE JURET
UNR—70%——
88
MIKE HIGGINSTE SERET
★3—40%-42—
89
DANE PARDRIDGEWR SEPORTAL · NORTHERN ILLINOIS
★2★200%+1HELD
25
TRENT OSBORNWR JURET
UNR—00%——
1
FAMAH TOUREWR SERET
★3—00%——
85
BEN ROSENBLATTWR JURET
UNR—00%——
24
BEN ROTHHAARTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
LIAM KILCOMONSTE SORET
UNR—00%——
84
RYAN BAYOUMYTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
SALOMON EALEYWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
SHA'ZIR SULLIVANWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL54TAL59PERF54RET96n=6 · 3 METRICS · 16 OBS
▸DL46TAL65PERF46RET56n=10 · 7 METRICS · 44 OBS
▸LB35TAL51PERF35RET95n=5 · 11 METRICS · 29 OBS
▸DB45TAL76PERF45RET43n=6 · 8 METRICS · 35 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WYDEEK COLLIERHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
TARIQ HAYERHS RECRUITS★4UNR
MICHAEL THOMAS IIIHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DJ MCCLARYHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
BRAXTON KYLEHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
MICHAEL CLAYTONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KAMAR ARCHIEHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JA'ELYNE MATTHEWSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
N-KYE WYNNHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
JOURDIN HOUSTONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN4 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRADLEY WEAVEROHIODL★3★4
COLIN WEBERCHARLOTTETE★3★3
DT SHEFFIELDNORTH TEXASWRUNR★3
CAM MILLERPENN STATECB★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT30 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHRIS LONGMONTANA STATEWR★3★3
WESLEY BAILEYLOUISVILLEDL★3★3
TIMMY HINSPETERMASSACHUSETTSLBUNR★3
DAVID ONUOHAMASSACHUSETTSDLUNR★3
SHEDRICK RHODES JR.OHIOOL★3★3
JASIRE PETERSONUABDL★3★4
MATT OGUNNIYIMASSACHUSETTSTE★3★3
FITZROY LEDGISTERWESTERN MICHIGANS★3★3
KYONTE HAMILTONNFL DRAFT R7DL★3—
ROBERT LONGERBEAMNFL DRAFT R6DB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES51%2 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS46%5 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#33NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 30 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8771COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1923 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST66% BACK66th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG66% BACK66th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR96%96th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR97%97th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST43%43th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE