SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2023 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›SOUTH CAROLINA›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
SEC|SHANE BEAMER|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
SOUTH CAROLINA42 FPISEC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
85FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
49%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
82%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-7IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1611 BC / 25
BC RATIO
31%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs5.9-6.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-0.3
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE86
PERFORMANCE86
TALENT68
CONTINUITY49
DEFENSE71
PERFORMANCE71
TALENT66
CONTINUITY82
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
73MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2ANORTH CAROLINA—L 17-31887171-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HFURMAN—W 47-21————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 16AGEORGIA#4L 14-24999999-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HMISSISSIPPI STATE#9W 37-30805454+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30ATENNESSEE#17L 20-41899090-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HFLORIDA—L 39-41907070-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21AMISSOURI#8L 12-34839393-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28ATEXAS A&M—L 17-30988989-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HJACKSONVILLE STATE—W 38-2864747+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HVANDERBILT—W 47-6581717+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HKENTUCKY—W 17-14788484-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HCLEMSON#20L 7-16978484-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB65TAL99PERF65RET99ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
SPENCER RATTLERQB SERET
★5—9698%+18—
16
LANORRIS SELLERSQB JUNO SNAPS
★4—101%——
4
COLTEN GAUTHIERQB SORET
★3★340%—HELD
15
TANNER BAILEYQB FRRET
★4★300%—FELL
▾RB41TAL86PERF41RET91ROTATIONn=3 · 9 METRICS · 17 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
DAKEREON JOYNERRB SERET
★4—7830%-24—
JUJU MCDOWELLRB SERET
★3—5711%+37—
2
DJAY BRASWELLRB SONO SNAPS
★4★4353%-63HELD
27
D.J. TWITTYRB SERET
UNR—121%——
32
BRADLEY DUNNRB SERET
UNR—91%——
26
NATHAN HARRIS-WAYNICKRB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
MARIO ANDERSONRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%-5HELD
33
KAMRON SANDLINRB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
35
CHASE MCCRACKENRB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE71TAL77PERF68RET46ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
XAVIER LEGETTEWR SERET
★3—9531%+34—
1
TREY KNOXTE SEPORTAL · ARKANSAS
★4★48953%+28HELD
6
JOSHUA SIMONTE SEPORTAL · WESTERN KENTUCKY
★3★48041%+36ROSE
9
O'MEGA BLAKEWR SERET
★3★47718%-4ROSE
8
NYCK HARBORWR SENO SNAPS
★5—7517%+5—
10
AHMAREAN BROWNWR SERET
★3★37417%-35HELD
11
EDDIE LEWISWR SEPORTAL · MEMPHIS
★3★3546%+6HELD
8
TYSHAWN RUSSELLWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★3525%-32HELD
3
ANTWANE WELLS JR.WR JURET
UNR★4433%+33EMERGED
19
PAYTON MANGRUMWR SERET
★2★3433%—ROSE
84
NICK ELKSNISTE SEPORTAL · FLORIDA
★3★3333%—HELD
88
CONNOR COXTE SENO SNAPS
★3★3293%—HELD
9
LUKE DOTYWR SERET
★4—141%-45—
87
JOSEPH MORRISWR SORET
UNR—60%——
20
KYLIC HORTONWR FRRET
★3★360%—HELD
19
BEN ROLLINSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
82
LANDON SAMSONWR FRRET
★4★300%—FELL
44
MAURICE BROWN IITE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
ELIJAH CALDWELLWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
15
ZAVIER SHORTWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
12
ERIQ RICEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
AARON MORTONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
6
REID MIKESKATE SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
3
C.J. ADAMSWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
83
KELTON HENDERSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
80
LUKAS VOZEHTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
WILL HELMADOLLARTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL41TAL56PERF41RET42n=8 · 3 METRICS · 22 OBS
▸DL48TAL72PERF48RET89n=11 · 8 METRICS · 57 OBS
▸LB42TAL50PERF42RET79n=4 · 10 METRICS · 30 OBS
▸DB50TAL71PERF50RET74n=7 · 8 METRICS · 38 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NYCK HARBORHS RECRUITATH★5UNR
DESMOND UMEOZULUHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
MARKEE ANDERSONHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
XZAVIER MCLEODHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
VICARI SWAINHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
GRAYSON HOWARDHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
TREE BABALADEHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
DJAY BRASWELLHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
LANORRIS SELLERSHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
JALON KILGOREHS RECRUITS★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN8 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TREY KNOXARKANSASTE★4★4
JOSHUA SIMONWESTERN KENTUCKYTE★3★4
JARON WILLISOLE MISSEDGE★4★4
EDDIE LEWISMEMPHISWR★3★3
MARIO ANDERSON JR.NEWBERRYRBUNR★3
NICK ELKSNISFLORIDATE★3★3
SIDNEY FUGARWESTERN ILLINOISOTUNR★3
JATIUS GEERSYRACUSEDL★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT30 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JORDAN BURCHOREGONDE★5★4
GILBER EDMONDFLORIDA STATEEDGE★3★3
AUSTIN STOGNEROKLAHOMATE★4★3
MARSHAWN LLOYDUSCRB★4★4
JAHEIM BELLFLORIDA STATETE★4★4
TYRESE ROSSSAMFORDDB★3★3
HOT ROD FITTENEAST TENNESSEE STATELB★3UNR
DARRYLE WAREEAST TEXAS A&MLB★3UNR
RASHAD AMOSMIAMI (OH)RB★3★3
COREY RUCKERARKANSAS STATEWR★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES59%8 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS73%10 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#16NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
11OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8977COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1017 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST64% BACK64th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG64% BACK64th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR42%42th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST74%74th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE