SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2025 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TENNESSEE›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
SEC|JOSH HEUPEL|—RECORD8-5|CONF—
TENNESSEE19 FPISEC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
89FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
62%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
75%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-17IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1117 BC / 25
BC RATIO
59%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
8-4ACTUALvs8.3-3.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+12.0
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE94
PERFORMANCE94
TALENT83
CONTINUITY62
DEFENSE67
PERFORMANCE67
TALENT82
CONTINUITY75
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
59MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HSYRACUSE—W 45-26761616+71BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6HEAST TENNESSEE STATE—W 72-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 13HGEORGIA#6L 41-441009696-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20HUAB—W 56-242688+79BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27AMISSISSIPPI STATE—W 41-34835757+30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11HARKANSAS—W 34-31846161+26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18AALABAMA#9L 20-37998686+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25AKENTUCKY—W 56-34815151+36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1HOKLAHOMA#13L 27-33919090-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15HNEW MEXICO STATE—W 42-961010+77BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22AFLORIDA—W 31-11925454+33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29HVANDERBILT#15L 24-45619393-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 30AILLINOIS—L 28-30548383+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB68TAL47PERF68RET6ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
JOEY AGUILARQB SEPORTAL · UCLA
UNR★39492%+28EMERGED
4
JAKE MERKLINGERQB FRRET
★4★3436%-23FELL
12
GEORGE MACINTYREQB FRTRUE FR
★4—232%——
13
MASON PHILLIPSQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB66TAL62PERF66RET63ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 21 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
DESEAN BISHOPRB JURET
★3—9446%+33—
9
STAR THOMASRB SEPORTAL · DUKE
UNR★38128%+4EMERGED
2
PEYTON LEWISRB JURET
★4★36917%+13FELL
17
DAUNE MORRISRB SONO SNAPS
★4—526%-37—
2
JUSTIN BAKERRB SONO SNAPS
★3—383%-58—
24
HUNTER BARNESRB SERET
UNR—00%-18—
▾WR/TE78TAL89PERF78RET87ONE OWNERn=5 · 7 METRICS · 34 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
MIKE MATTHEWSWR JURET
★5★49732%-2FELL
14
BRAYLON STALEYWR SORET
★4—9630%+18—
17
CHRIS BRAZZELL IIWR JURET
★3★49529%+26ROSE
87
MILES KITSELMANTE SERET
UNR★38748%+32EMERGED
0
ETHAN DAVISTE JURET
★4—7630%+28—
88
JACK VAN DORSELAERTE SONO SNAPS
★4★46014%—HELD
1
TRAVIS SMITH JR.WR SONO SNAPS
★4—493%——
7
DASAAHN BRAMETE SONO SNAPS
★4—466%——
3
RADARIOUS JACKSONWR SONO SNAPS
★4—453%——
9
JOAKIM DODSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3—331%——
83
TREY WEARYWR JURET
UNR—321%——
80
COLE HARRISONTE SORET
★3—242%——
84
TOMMY WINTON IIIWR JURET
★3★3231%—HELD
88
DEON HARDINWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—110%——
36
NATHAN ROBERTSWR JURET
UNR—60%——
42
BRAYLON HARMONWR FRRET
UNR—60%——
40
SEAMUS MEAGHERTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
AMARI JEFFERSONWR FRPORTAL · ALABAMA
★4★400%—HELD
26
CARSON WHITEHEADWR JURET
UNR—00%——
29
JACK-HENRY JAKOBIKWR JURET
UNR—00%——
39
MALCOLM KINZERWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
35
BEN PETERMANNWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL71TAL88PERF71RET54n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL71TAL89PERF71RET91n=12 · 7 METRICS · 56 OBS
▸LB64TAL77PERF64RET83n=9 · 11 METRICS · 49 OBS
▸DB55TAL78PERF55RET61n=10 · 8 METRICS · 53 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAVID SANDERS JR.HS RECRUITOT★5UNR
ISAIAH CAMPBELLHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
DASAAHN BRAMEHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
MARIYON DYEHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
TRAVIS SMITH JR.HS RECRUITWR★4UNR
GEORGE MACINTYREHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
JAEDON HARMONHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
CHRISTIAN GASSHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
ETHAN UTLEYHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
NIC MOOREHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN2 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SAM PENDLETONNOTRE DAMEIOL★4★4
WENDELL MOE JR.ARIZONAIOL★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT43 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NICO IAMALEAVAUCLAQB★5★5
CHRISTIAN HARRISONCINCINNATIDB★3★3
JALEN SMITHMISSISSIPPI STATELB★4★3
JAKOBE THOMASMIAMIDB★3★3
KALIB PERRYLOUISVILLELB★3★3
CHRISTIAN CHARLESVIRGINIADB★3★3
SQUIRREL WHITEFLORIDA STATEWR★3★4
HOLDEN STAESINDIANATE★4★3
JAYSON JENKINSFLORIDA STATEDL★3★3
LARRY JOHNSON IIICOLORADOOLUNR★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES73%9 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS65%11 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#11NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
17OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9132COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
724 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST22% BACK22th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG22% BACK22th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR54%54th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR6%6th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST61%61th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE