SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
SUN BELT|CHIP LINDSEY|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
TROY101 FPISBC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
22FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#800 BC / 18
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs5.8-6.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-0.9
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
35MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HCAMPBELL—W 43-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14HSOUTHERN MISS—L 42-47363232+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21AAKRON—W 35-71011+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HARKANSAS STATE—L 43-50334242-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5AMISSOURI—L 10-42727171-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 16HSOUTH ALABAMA—W 37-132066+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AGEORGIA STATE—L 33-52191818+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2ACOASTAL CAROLINA—L 35-3691313+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 49-28263434+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16ATEXAS STATE—W 63-271699+26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23ALOUISIANA—L 3-53267676-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29HAPP STATE#19L 13-48278080-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET38NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
GUNNAR WATSONQB SERET
★3—00%——
19
KADE YOUNGQB JURET
★3—00%——
7
KALEB BARKERQB SERET
★2—00%——
12
JACOB FREEQB JURET
★3—00%——
3
JACOB CENDOYAQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
10
GAVIN SCREWSQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET93NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
20
DK BILLINGSLEYRB SERET
★2—00%——
45
ZACC WELDONFB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
JABIR DAUGHTRY-FRYERB JURET
★2—00%——
46
WALTER PRITCHETTFB JURET
★2—00%——
15
TANNER BLATTRB JURET
UNR—00%——
33
TREVON WOOLFOLKRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
26
B.J. SMITHRB SERET
★3—00%——
1
JAMONTEZ WOODSRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
25
JOSH MAYSRB SORET
UNR—00%——
28
CHARLES STRONGRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
LUKE WHITTEMOREWR JURET
★3—00%——
3
BRET CLARKWR JURET
★2—00%——
24
TIMMIE GIBSONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
10
KAYLON GEIGERWR SERET
★3★200%—FELL
27
DALTON ADKINSONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
6
KHALIL MCCLAINWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
2
REGGIE TODDWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
9
TRE' ROSSTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
16
DALTON ADKISONWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
REID RIALSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
SAM LETTONWR SERET
★3—00%——
13
TRAY EAFFORDWR SERET
★3—00%——
84
AJ LEWISTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
TYLER HUSSEYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
8
DEMONTREZ BROWNWR JURET
★3—00%——
89
TREY CORYELLTE SERET
UNR—00%——
86
BENITO WILLIAMSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
80
DONOVAN CURRYWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
87
JADEN WARRENWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
2
REGGIE TODDWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
REDDY STEWARDHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
AHDARRIOUS GEEHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
DELL PETTUSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
RICKY SAMUELHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
JADEN WARRENHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JAYLEN CHILDSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DEVON REAVESHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
CHRISTIAN MURPHYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JAMONTEZ WOODSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JAVON SOLOMONHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TRON FOLSOMCOLORADO STATEOLBUNRUNR
TRAVEON SAMUELMEMPHISWRUNRUNR
SAWYER SMITHKENTUCKYQB★3UNR
DANIEL CROWELLJACKSON STATEWR★3UNR
CEDARIUS ROOKARDELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
HUNTER REESEELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
TREVON SANDERSELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
JARVIS BRYANTELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
DEONDRE DOUGLASELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
DAMION WILLISELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#80NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8227COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
34TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
7
6
6
9
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.8 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED15 OF 34
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST52% BACK52th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG52% BACK52th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR38%38th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE