SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2023 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UCF›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
BIG 12|GUS MALZAHN|—RECORD6-7|CONF—
UCF27 FPIB12 · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
62FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
61%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
71%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-1IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#503 BC / 15
BC RATIO
19%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs7.7-4.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.1
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE83
PERFORMANCE83
TALENT67
CONTINUITY61
DEFENSE68
PERFORMANCE68
TALENT57
CONTINUITY71
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
56MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HKENT STATE—W 56-61500+58BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9ABOISE STATE—W 18-16486767-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HVILLANOVA—W 48-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 23AKANSAS STATE#18L 31-44519090-32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HBAYLOR—L 35-36672727+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AKANSAS#23L 22-51558282-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21AOKLAHOMA#15L 29-31948888-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HWEST VIRGINIA—L 28-41647272-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4ACINCINNATI—W 28-26643434+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HOKLAHOMA STATE#16W 45-3606969-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ATEXAS TECH—L 23-24726868-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HHOUSTON—W 27-13652929+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 22HGEORGIA TECH—L 17-30745151+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB64TAL73PERF65RET68ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
JOHN RHYS PLUMLEEQB SERET
★4—7768%+13—
7
TIMMY MCCLAINQB SEPORTAL · SOUTH FLORIDA
★3★36330%+22HELD
10
DYLAN RIZKQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★3141%—HELD
12
GUNNAR SMITHQB JUPORTAL · SOUTH FLORIDA
★3★300%—HELD
17
BROCK HANSELQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB60TAL47PERF60RET96ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
RJ HARVEYRB SERET
★3—9763%+34—
0
JOHNNY RICHARDSONRB SERET
★3—7425%+36—
5
JORDAN MCDONALDRB SERET
★3★3415%+39HELD
6
MARK-ANTONY RICHARDSRB SERET
★4★4374%+28HELD
23
DEMARKCUS BOWMANRB JURET
★5★5313%+26HELD
20
KAM INGRAMRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—141%——
37
PRESTON FOREMANRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE72TAL81PERF72RET85ONE OWNERn=8 · 7 METRICS · 37 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
KOBE HUDSONWR SERET
★4—9432%+29—
1
JAVON BAKERWR SERET
★4—9331%+31—
82
ALEC HOLLERTE SERET
UNR—9051%+17—
3
XAVIER TOWNSENDWR SERET
★3★38021%-18HELD
5
RANDY PITTMANTE SENO SNAPS
★3—7025%+37—
85
ZACH MARSH WOJANTE SERET
UNR—6621%——
19
JARRAD BAKERWR SERET
★3—546%-53—
80
TRENT WHITTEMOREWR SEPORTAL · FLORIDA
★3★3505%+6HELD
5
CHAUNCEY MAGWOODWR SEPORTAL · KENTUCKY
★3★3443%-17HELD
12
JAYLON GRIFFINWR SERET
UNR★3291%-30EMERGED
49
MAX HOLLERTE JURET
UNR—221%——
83
GARRETT FRENCHTE JURET
UNR—111%——
86
JORDAN DAVISTE SERET
★3—50%——
84
THOMAS WADSWORTHTE SERET
UNR—00%——
0
TYLER GRIFFINWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
16
STEPHEN MARTINWR JURET
UNR—00%-38—
17
AMARI JOHNSONWR SERET
★3★300%-59HELD
4
COREY GAMMAGEWR SEPORTAL · MARSHALL
★3★300%+27HELD
38
DIONTE MARKSWR SERET
★3—00%——
31
JAJUAN FORTE'WR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
GRANT STEVENSTE SORET
★3—00%——
4
TYREE PATTERSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
24
ANDREW DICKSONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
87
DWARTNEY WORTHAMWR JURET
UNR—00%——
85
CULLEN SMITHWR SORET
UNR—00%——
▸OL59TAL59PERF59RET43n=7 · 3 METRICS · 19 OBS
▸DL58TAL62PERF58RET85n=8 · 8 METRICS · 44 OBS
▸LB49TAL8PERF49RET91n=5 · 11 METRICS · 30 OBS
▸DB57TAL65PERF57RET66n=11 · 6 METRICS · 59 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOHN WALKERHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
ANDREW HARRISHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
ISAIAH NIXONHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
BRAEDEN MARSHALLHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KAVEN CALLHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
JASON DUCLONAHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
RANDY PITTMAN JR.HS RECRUITTE★3UNR
ANDREW RUMPHHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
TROY FORDHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
JOHNATHAN CLINEHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN12 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DERRICK LEBLANCOKLAHOMADL★4★4
RIAN DAVISGEORGIALB★4★3
DECORIAN PATTERSONMIDDLE TENNESSEECBUNR★3
MARCELLUS MARSHALLKENT STATEOT★3★3
JIREH WILSONEAST CAROLINAS★3★3
CHAUNCEY MAGWOODKENTUCKYWR★3★3
FRED DAVIS IICLEMSONCBUNR★3
TRENT WHITTEMOREFLORIDAWR★3★3
AMARI KIGHTALABAMAOT★4★3
BULA SCHMIDTFRESNO STATEIOL★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT25 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MATT LEEMIAMIC★3★4
DAVONTE BROWNMIAMIDB★4★3
JUSTIN HODGESARKANSAS STATECB★3★3
JEREMIAH JEAN-BAPTISTEOLE MISSLB★3★3
RYAN O'KEEFEBOSTON COLLEGEWR★3★3
MIKEY KEENEFRESNO STATEQB★3★3
TOMMY CASTELLANOSBOSTON COLLEGEQB★3★3
JAIDEN FRANCOISUTAH STATELB★4★3
KEAHNIST THOMPSONWEBER STATEEDGE★3★3
SAMUEL JACKSONELIGIBILITY UPOL★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES43%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS33%4 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#50NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 15 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8762COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1819 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST67% BACK67th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG67% BACK67th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR43%43th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR68%68th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST66%66th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE