SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
BIG 12|GUS MALZAHN|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
UCF43 FPIB12 · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
77FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
84%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
43%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-1IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#356 BC / 17
BC RATIO
28%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs6.9-5.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-2.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+3.5
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE75
PERFORMANCE75
TALENT70
CONTINUITY84
DEFENSE71
PERFORMANCE71
TALENT67
CONTINUITY43
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
65MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 29HNEW HAMPSHIRE—W 57-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7HSAM HOUSTON—W 45-14182727+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14ATCU—W 35-34808282-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HCOLORADO#25L 21-48787171-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5AFLORIDA—L 13-24928686-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HCINCINNATI—L 13-19574747+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AIOWA STATE#15L 35-38518080-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HBYU#13L 24-37448888-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HARIZONA—W 56-12603939+16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9AARIZONA STATE#7L 31-35797474-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AWEST VIRGINIA—L 21-31615252+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29HUTAH—L 14-28777171-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB64TAL79PERF64RET35ROTATIONn=3 · 7 METRICS · 18 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
DYLAN RIZKQB JURET
★3★36535%+14HELD
1
KJ JEFFERSONQB SEPORTAL · ARKANSAS
★4★36535%+28FELL
11
JACURRI BROWNQB SEPORTAL · MIAMI
★4★46123%-36HELD
1
EJ COLSON JR.QB SONO SNAPS
★3★3347%—HELD
2
RILEY TRUJILLOQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
17
BROCK HANSELQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB69TAL50PERF69RET79ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
RJ HARVEYRB SERET
★3—9768%+32—
22
MYLES MONTGOMERYRB SEPORTAL · CINCINNATI
★3★36314%+30HELD
0
JOHNNY RICHARDSONRB SERET
★3—5710%+32—
13
PENY BOONERB SEPORTAL · LOUISVILLE
★4★4507%+17HELD
20
KAM INGRAMRB JURET
UNR—121%——
21
STACY GAGERB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
37
PRESTON FOREMANRB SORET
UNR—00%——
32
TYLER WRENNRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE64TAL67PERF58RET70ONE OWNERn=9 · 8 METRICS · 45 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
RANDY PITTMANTE SERET
★3—9567%+35—
2
KOBE HUDSONWR SERET
★4—8628%+31—
44
EVAN MORRISTE SEPORTAL · MICHIGAN STATE
★3★37329%-47HELD
80
TRENT WHITTEMOREWR SERET
★3★37217%-3HELD
9
JA'VARRIUS JOHNSONWR SEPORTAL · AUBURN
★4★36915%+19FELL
16
JACOBY JONESWR SEPORTAL · OHIO
UNR★36712%+35EMERGED
5
CHAUNCEY MAGWOODWR SERET
★3★36310%-19HELD
19
JARRAD BAKERWR SERET
★3—619%-56—
3
XAVIER TOWNSENDWR SERET
★3★3587%-22HELD
16
KYLAN FOXTE JUNO SNAPS
★4★3292%—FELL
4
TYREE PATTERSONWR JURET
★3★3110%—HELD
88
GRANT STEVENSTE SORET
★3—91%——
87
DWARTNEY WORTHAMWR JURET
UNR—70%——
8
BREDELL RICHARDSONWR SONO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
83
REECE ADKINSTE SEPORTAL · EASTERN KENTUCKY
UNR★300%—EMERGED
84
THOMAS WADSWORTHTE SERET
UNR—00%——
19
KASON STOKESWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
82
JORDYN BRIDGEWATERWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
85
CARSON HINSHAWWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
CALEB ROLLERSONWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
JORDAN DAVISTE SERET
★3—00%——
▸OL54TAL70PERF54RET98n=5 · 3 METRICS · 15 OBS
▸DL68TAL69PERF68RET70n=8 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
▸LB53TAL71PERF53RET4n=4 · 10 METRICS · 33 OBS
▸DB58TAL61PERF59RET40n=8 · 6 METRICS · 43 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS11 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAYLEN HEYWARDHS RECRUITS★4UNR
KYLAN FOXHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
BREDELL RICHARDSONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
WALTCLAIRE FLYNN JR.HS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
QUA BIRDSONGHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
JAKOB GUDEHS RECRUITS★4UNR
STACY GAGEHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
EJ COLSONHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
CHRISTIAN PETERSONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MARCUS DOWNSHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN14 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NYJALIK KELLYMIAMIEDGE★4★4
PENY BOONELOUISVILLERB★4★4
KJ JEFFERSONARKANSASQB★4★3
MYLES MONTGOMERYCINCINNATIRB★3★3
JABARI BROOKSSAMFORDIOLUNR★3
LADARIUS TENNISONOLE MISSS★4★3
DESHAWN PACECINCINNATIS★3★3
TRE'QUON FEGANSUSCCB★4★3
CEDRICK HAWKINSOHIO STATESUNR★3
DAYLAN DOTSONUT MARTINEDGEUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT34 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NIKAI MARTINEZMICHIGAN STATEDB★4★3
COREY THORNTONLOUISVILLEDB★3★3
JOSH CELISCARTEXAS A&MDL★3★3
TIMMY MCCLAINARKANSAS STATEQB★3★3
KERVINS CHOUTEUCONNDL★3★3
JORDAN MCDONALDBOSTON COLLEGERB★3★3
TYLER GRIFFINUL MONROEWR★3★3
STEPHEN MARTINSAMFORDWRUNRUNR
KD MCDANIELGEORGIA STATELB★3★3
TYLAN GRABLENFL DRAFT R6OLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES35%6 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS46%8 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#35NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
6OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8812COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2526 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST45% BACK45th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG45% BACK45th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR98%98th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR35%35th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST40%40th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE