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HOME›TEAMS›WESTERN MICHIGAN›2024TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|LANCE TAYLOR|—RECORD6-7|CONF—
WESTERN MICHIGAN111 FPIMAC · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
31FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
82%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
75%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-12IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#710 BC / 25
BC RATIO
1%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-6ACTUALvs5.5-6.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-2.0
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE53
PERFORMANCE53
TALENT32
CONTINUITY82
DEFENSE5
PERFORMANCE5
TALENT38
CONTINUITY75
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
35MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30AWISCONSIN—L 14-28815656-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7AOHIO STATE#1L 0-5699100100-78BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HBETHUNE-COOKMAN—W 59-31————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5SEP 28AMARSHALL—L 20-27425757-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5ABALL STATE—W 45-421466+16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HAKRON—W 34-242688+14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19ABUFFALO—W 48-4193535-13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HKENT STATE—W 52-21900+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 6HNORTHERN ILLINOIS—L 28-42103838-16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 12ABOWLING GREEN—L 13-31174343-21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 19ACENTRAL MICHIGAN—L 14-16151111+11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HEASTERN MICHIGAN—W 26-18211515+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 14HSOUTH ALABAMA—L 23-30325555-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB38TAL64PERF38RET98ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 11 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
HAYDEN WOLFFQB SERET
★3★38298%+9HELD
12
BROC LOWRYQB JUPORTAL · INDIANA
★3★3182%—HELD
16
MARK KONECNYQB JURET
★2★200%—HELD
13
MASON REYNOLDSQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
7
JD DAVIS IIQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB50TAL44PERF50RET70ROTATIONn=3 · 9 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
ZAHIR ABDUS-SALAAMRB SERET
★3—8737%-25—
6
JALEN BUCKLEYRB SERET
UNR—8430%+25—
5
JADEN NIXONRB SENO SNAPS
★3★38329%+25HELD
4
KESHAWN KINGRB SERET
★4★4232%+19HELD
28
JAMAL HAILEYRB JURET
★3★3161%+32HELD
26
TRE' HARTWELLRB SORET
★3★3121%—HELD
▾WR/TE46TAL30PERF44RET77ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 42 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
86
BLAKE BOSMATE SERET
UNR—9655%+20—
9
KENNETH WOMACKWR SERET
UNR—8329%+18—
5
ANTHONY SAMBUCCIWR SERET
★3—7825%+10—
17
MALIQUE DIEUDONNEWR SERET
UNR—7321%+3—
7
MAREYOHN HRABOWSKITE SERET
★3—7121%-35—
15
CHRIS TOUDLETE SEPORTAL · NC STATE
★3★36920%+19HELD
2
JORDIN PARKERWR SEPORTAL · NEW MEXICO STATE
★3★36614%+32HELD
10
KAEVION MACKWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3547%-51HELD
9
BUGS MORTIMERWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—474%+32—
84
KADINN MORRISTE SERET
★3★3394%—HELD
11
TERENCE MARSHALLWR SONO SNAPS
★3—130%——
81
DAVIS BARRWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—130%——
19
TONY MARTINWR JURET
★3—70%——
40
NATHAN SINESTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
BRENNAN WOOTENTE SERET
★3—00%——
83
RYAN BROTHERTONTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
80
CAM HEDGECOCKWR SERET
UNR—00%——
19
WILLIE BERRISWR SORET
UNR—00%——
18
NAJIIB ANDERSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3★400%—ROSE
10
JAYQUAN REIDWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
27
JR HAYSWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL41TAL22PERF41RET85n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL27TAL27PERF27RET69n=9 · 8 METRICS · 45 OBS
▸LB28TAL49PERF28RET96n=6 · 11 METRICS · 41 OBS
▸DB34TAL34PERF34RET73n=7 · 8 METRICS · 39 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS16 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CARLOS MITCHELL JR.HS RECRUITATH★3UNR
TERENCE MARSHALLHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JOSHUA LLOYDHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
NAJIIB ANDERSONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CAMERON POWELLHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JAYQUAN REIDHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
NOAH BISHOPHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
JORDAN BUCKLEYHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JD DAVIS IIHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
JAMESON YOUNGHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN9 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BROC LOWRYINDIANAQB★3★3
POPEYE WILLIAMSLOUISVILLEEDGE★3★3
ARMANI-ELI ADAMSFLORIDA ATLANTICSUNR★3
BUGS MORTIMERUL MONROEWRUNR★3
JORDIN PARKERNEW MEXICO STATEWR★3★3
ANTERIO THOMPSONIOWADLUNR★3
CHRIS TOUDLENC STATETE★3★3
RODNEY MCGRAWLOUISVILLEEDGE★3★3
DOMANICK MOONPURDUELB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOSHUA NOBLESJACKSON STATEDL★3★3
SAVEON BROWNBUFFALOLB★3★3
JACK SALOPEKELONQB★3★3
QUINTON CANNONGARDNER-WEBBLB★3★2
MITCH BARTOLILLINOIS STATETE★3UNR
CJ HESTERMASSACHUSETTSRB★3★3
RYAN WYNNNORTH CAROLINA CENTRALDLUNRUNR
LOGAN WILSONINDIANA STATEDL★3★3
MARSHAWN KNEELANDNFL DRAFT R2DL★2—
KENI-H LOVELYELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES19%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS31%4 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#71NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8269COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1123 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST70% BACK70th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG70% BACK70th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR85%85th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR98%98th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST73%73th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE