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HOME›TEAMS›WESTERN MICHIGAN›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|LANCE TAYLOR|—RECORD10-4|CONF—
WESTERN MICHIGAN79 FPIMAC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
24FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
46%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
40%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-5IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1040 BC / 14
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
9-4ACTUALvs8.4-4.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+5.4
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE11
PERFORMANCE11
TALENT46
CONTINUITY46
DEFENSE59
PERFORMANCE59
TALENT33
CONTINUITY40
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE14 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
36MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 29AMICHIGAN STATE—L 6-23734040+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6HNORTH TEXAS#24L 30-33318484-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13AILLINOIS—L 0-38548383-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20HTOLEDO—W 14-13466565-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27HRHODE ISLAND—W 47-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
6OCT 4AMASSACHUSETTS—W 21-31500+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11HBALL STATE—W 42-01733+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25AMIAMI (OH)—L 17-26374040+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1HCENTRAL MICHIGAN—W 24-21122626+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 11HOHIO—W 17-1393939+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 18ANORTHERN ILLINOIS—W 35-19966+37BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 25AEASTERN MICHIGAN—W 31-21321313+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 6HMIAMI (OH)—W 23-13374040+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 19HKENNESAW STATE—W 41-643535+8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB40TAL59PERF40RET86ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
BROC LOWRYQB JURET
★3★38186%+9HELD
10
BRADY JONESQB SENO SNAPS
UNR★35414%-54EMERGED
16
MARK KONECNYQB JURET
★2★200%—HELD
13
MASON REYNOLDSQB SORET
★3—00%——
23
LARRY ROBINSONQB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
19
VANCE HOLTZQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB48TAL41PERF48RET50ONE OWNERn=3 · 5 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
JALEN BUCKLEYRB SERET
UNR—9047%+18—
5
DEVIN MILESRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—7828%-37—
24
OFA MATAELERB SENO SNAPS
UNR—6920%-33—
26
TRE' HARTWELLRB SORET
★3★3333%-61HELD
4
COLE CABANARB JUPORTAL · MICHIGAN
★4★3242%-61FELL
21
CHASE DAWKINSRB FRTRUE FR
★2—91%——
▾WR/TE36TAL31PERF37RET42ROTATIONn=9 · 8 METRICS · 40 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
86
BLAKE BOSMATE SERET
UNR—9544%+14—
2
AVEION CHENAULTWR SONO SNAPS
★3—8227%-11—
7
BAYLIN BROOKSWR JUPORTAL · SAN DIEGO STATE
★3★38025%+15HELD
0
TALIQUE WILLIAMSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—7924%+25—
2
MICHAEL BRESCIATE SEPORTAL · COLGATE
UNR★37822%+43EMERGED
7
MAREYOHN HRABOWSKITE SERET
★3—7722%-42—
17
MALIQUE DIEUDONNEWR SERET
UNR—6310%+4—
15
CADE CONLEYTE JUPORTAL · MARSHALL
UNR★36210%+10EMERGED
1
CHRISTIAN LEARYWR SEPORTAL · GEORGIA TECH
★4★3567%+12FELL
11
TERENCE MARSHALLWR SORET
★3—526%——
89
BRENNAN WOOTENTE SERET
★3—241%——
83
RYAN BROTHERTONTE SORET
★3—191%——
3
KEIVIN BOONE-NELSON IIWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—191%——
80
CAM HEDGECOCKWR SERET
UNR—60%——
87
BRADY RHOADTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
8
EGYPT NELSONWR JUPORTAL · VMI
UNR★300%—EMERGED
22
CAMDEN THOMPSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
40
NATHAN SINESTE JURET
UNR—00%——
27
JR HAYSWR SORET
UNR—00%——
85
BRADEN PEEVYWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
81
EARNEST MCDANIEL-MITCHELLWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
DON-RAY HALL JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL42TAL50PERF42RET48n=7 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL54TAL44PERF54RET51n=4 · 7 METRICS · 16 OBS
▸LB58TAL17PERF58RET18n=8 · 11 METRICS · 54 OBS
▸DB44TAL27PERF44RET42n=10 · 8 METRICS · 55 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AVEION CHENAULTHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CAMDEN THOMPSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JOHN PETERSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
LIAM VAUGHANHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
KJ KOTALIKHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
SPENCER BECKEMANHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
TAVAREZ EDWARDSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
GIAN CARTERHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
BRADY RHOADHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
FREDDY BROWNHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN12 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NADAME TUCKERHOUSTONEDGEUNR★3
COLE CABANAMICHIGANRB★4★3
MARVIN SMITHALABAMA A&MSUNR★3
MICHAEL BRESCIACOLGATETEUNR★3
JASON MITCHELLSAN DIEGO STATES★3★3
EGYPT NELSONVMIWRUNR★3
CHRISTIAN LEARYGEORGIA TECHWR★4★3
TAILIQUE WILLIAMSGEORGIA STATEWRUNR★3
JAYDEN DAVISSACRAMENTO STATES★3★3
RAHEEM ANDERSONMICHIGANIOLUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT40 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ISAIAH GREENMEMPHISDLUNR★3
MASON NELSONVANDERBILTDL★2★3
COREY WALKERWISCONSINLB★3★3
ANTERIO THOMPSONWASHINGTONDLUNR★3
JADEN NIXONUCFRB★3★3
JAYDEN CHILDERSINDIANA STATEDLUNRUNR
BUGS MORTIMERSTEPHEN F. AUSTINWR★4UNR
KADINN MORRISSOUTHERN MISSTE★3★3
JAMAL HAILEYFLORIDA A&MRB★3★3
ANGELO STOCKSTILLKENT STATEDB★3★2
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES67%8 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS68%9 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#104NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8329COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2328 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
26TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
5
9
7
5
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +9 W
IMPROVED12 OF 26
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST100% BACK100th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG100% BACK100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR48%48th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR86%86th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST42%42th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE