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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
BIG 12|NEAL BROWN|—RECORD6-7|CONF—
WEST VIRGINIA63 FPIB12 · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
61FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
94%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
46%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-12IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#461 BC / 25
BC RATIO
11%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs5.4-6.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-2.6
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE68
PERFORMANCE68
TALENT69
CONTINUITY94
DEFENSE29
PERFORMANCE29
TALENT64
CONTINUITY46
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
65MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HPENN STATE#5L 12-34939797-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HUALBANY—W 49-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14APITTSBURGH—L 34-38696262-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HKANSAS—W 32-28656262-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5AOKLAHOMA STATE—W 38-14624040+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HIOWA STATE#15L 16-28518080-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HKANSAS STATE—L 18-45548787-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AARIZONA—W 31-26603939+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9ACINCINNATI—W 31-24574747+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HBAYLOR—L 35-49697272-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HUCF—W 31-21775555-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30ATEXAS TECH—L 15-52736060-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 17HMEMPHIS#24L 37-42487777-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB69TAL75PERF69RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 12 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
GARRETT GREENEQB SERET
★3—8584%+14—
4
NICCO MARCHIOLQB JURET
★4★35616%-23FELL
17
JACKSON CRISTQB JURET
UNR—00%——
15
RYDER BURTONQB JUPORTAL · BYU
★3★300%—HELD
12
SCOTT KEANQB JURET
UNR—00%——
14
KHALIL WILKINSQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
7
ABE FENWICKQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB50TAL78PERF50RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 18 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
CJ DONALDSONRB SERET
★3★39451%+27HELD
1
JAHIEM WHITERB SERET
★3★39246%+31HELD
0
JAYLEN ANDERSONRB JURET
★4★3302%-3FELL
22
DIORE HUBBARDRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
21
TRAE'VON DUNBARRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
JUDAH PRICERB SORET
UNR—00%——
27
CLAY ASHRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
31
MURPHY CLEMENTRB SONO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
▾WR/TE57TAL69PERF53RET84ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
87
KOLE TAYLORTE SERET
★3★39965%+10HELD
13
HUDSON CLEMENTWR SERET
UNR★39126%+35EMERGED
84
RODNEY GALLAGHER IIIWR SERET
★4★38220%-27FELL
7
TRAYLON RAYWR JURET
★4★47717%+17HELD
81
TREYLAN DAVISTE JURET
★3—7526%-28—
29
PRESTON FOXWR SERET
UNR—7314%-10—
2
JUSTIN ROBINSONWR SEPORTAL · MISSISSIPPI STATE
★4★37113%+14FELL
6
RIC'DARIOUS FARMERWR SONO SNAPS
★4★3545%-42FELL
85
JACK SAMMARCOTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★3529%—HELD
5
JADEN BRAYWR SEPORTAL · OKLAHOMA STATE
★3★3524%+19HELD
10
JAREL WILLIAMSWR JURET
★3★3291%—HELD
43
COLIN MCBEETE JURET
UNR—90%——
87
WILL DIXONTE JURET
★3★340%—HELD
83
C.J. COLEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
36
NOAH BRAHAMTE SORET
★3★300%—HELD
1
BRANDON REHMANNWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
22
TYLER EVANSWR SORET
UNR—00%——
85
DOM COLLINSWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
82
GREG GENROSSTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
MYKEL DAVISWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
34
ANDREW PHARESWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL60TAL68PERF60RET100n=6 · 3 METRICS · 17 OBS
▸DL57TAL75PERF57RET69n=6 · 8 METRICS · 36 OBS
▸LB47TAL70PERF48RET54n=5 · 11 METRICS · 44 OBS
▸DB51TAL53PERF51RET28n=10 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS15 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RIC'DARIOUS FARMERHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
KYLE ALTUNERHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
BRANDON REHMANNHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
OBINNA ONWUKAHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
TRAEVON DUNBARHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
RICKEY WILLIAMSHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JASON CROSS JR.HS RECRUITS★3UNR
MAKAI BYERSONHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
ISRAEL BOYCEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DIORE HUBBARDHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN10 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
T.J. JACKSONTROYDL★3★3
TY FRENCHGARDNER-WEBBEDGE★3★3
JAHEEM JOSEPHNORTHWESTERNCB★3★3
TJ CRANDALLCOLORADO STATECB★3★3
AYDEN GARNESDUQUESNECBUNR★3
JADEN BRAYOKLAHOMA STATEWR★3★3
GARNETT HOLLIS JR.NORTHWESTERNCB★3★3
XAVIER BAUSLEYJACKSONVILLE STATEOTUNR★3
JUSTIN ROBINSONMISSISSIPPI STATEWR★4★3
REID CARRICOOHIO STATELB★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT31 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JARED BARTLETTCINCINNATILB★3★3
MIKE LOCKHARTSMUDT★3★3
HERSHEY MCLAURINHOUSTONDBUNR★3
TOMIWA DUROJAIYEFLORIDA STATEDL★3★4
LANCE DIXONTOLEDOLB★4★3
KEYSHAWN COBBNEVADASUNR★3
ANDREW WILSON-LAMPEAST CAROLINACB★3★3
CORTEZ BRAHAM JR.NEVADAWRUNR★3
JEREMIAH AARONNORTH TEXASWRUNR★3
JA'SHAUN POKESAN DIEGO STATEWR★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES40%4 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS30%7 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#46NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8656COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1325 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST90% BACK90th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG90% BACK90th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST28%28th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE