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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
ACC|BILL O'BRIEN|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
BOSTON COLLEGE48 FPIACC · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
58FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
80%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
72%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-7IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#950 BC / 12
BC RATIO
10%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
7-5ACTUALvs7.4-4.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+5.2
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE48
PERFORMANCE48
TALENT73
CONTINUITY80
DEFENSE66
PERFORMANCE66
TALENT57
CONTINUITY72
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
62MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2AFLORIDA STATE—W 28-13913838+10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HDUQUESNE—W 56-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14AMISSOURI#22L 21-27878686-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HMICHIGAN STATE—W 23-19713333+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HWESTERN KENTUCKY—W 21-20234242+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5AVIRGINIA—L 14-24563232+16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 17AVIRGINIA TECH—L 21-42637878-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25HLOUISVILLE—L 27-31748585-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HSYRACUSE#20W 37-31666666-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16ASMU#12L 28-38829292-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HNORTH CAROLINA—W 41-21856464-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HPITTSBURGH—W 34-23696262-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 28ANEBRASKA—L 15-20846666-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB41TAL55PERF41RET51ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
TOMMY CASTELLANOSQB SERET
★3★37251%0—
3
GRAYSON JAMESQB SEPORTAL · FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
★3★37148%-7HELD
15
JACOBE ROBINSONQB SORET
★3★3111%—HELD
19
JACK BRANDONQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
18
PETER DELAPORTASQB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
15
SHANE HANAFINQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB56TAL85PERF56RET46ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 26 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
KYE ROBICHAUXRB SERET
UNR★39346%+2EMERGED
TRESHAUN WARDRB SEPORTAL · KANSAS STATE
★3★38530%+22HELD
1
TURBO RICHARDRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★36513%+11HELD
5
JORDAN MCDONALDRB SEPORTAL · UCF
★3★36010%+30HELD
20
ALEX BROOMERB JURET
★3★300%-18HELD
36
HUNTER CLARKRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
33
ANTHONY FERRUCCIRB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE64TAL73PERF59RET68ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 45 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
LEWIS BONDWR SERET
★3—9634%+14—
17
JEREMIAH FRANKLINTE SERET
★3—9550%+19—
88
KAMARI MORALESTE SEPORTAL · NORTH CAROLINA
★3★39245%+28HELD
3
REED HARRISWR SERET
★3★48625%+36ROSE
1
JAEDN SKEETEWR JURET
★3—7216%+17—
5
JERAND BRADLEYWR SEPORTAL · TEXAS TECH
★3★3629%+8HELD
13
DINO TOMLINWR SERET
★3—576%-2—
8
JOHNATHAN MONTAGUE JR.WR SONO SNAPS
★3—556%-62—
86
MATT RAGANTE JURET
★3★3393%—HELD
15
JAYDEN MCGOWANWR SEPORTAL · VANDERBILT
★3★3332%-3HELD
83
LUKE MCLAUGHLINWR SERET
UNR—311%——
82
ISMAEL ZAMORWR JURET
★3★3231%—HELD
26
DATRELL JONESWR SORET
★3★3201%—HELD
23
MONTRELL WADEWR FRRET
★3★3130%—HELD
86
DANNY EDGEHILLETE SONO SNAPS
UNR—111%——
84
BRADY CLOUGHTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—90%——
85
JAY BRUNELLEWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
18
NATE JOHNSONWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
80
MARTIN LAHAMWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
81
CEDRIC LOTT JR.WR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
88
RYAN BOULTWOODTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
37
ZACH SCHNORRBUSCHWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
MICHAEL LANDOLFIWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL50TAL75PERF50RET95n=7 · 3 METRICS · 19 OBS
▸DL60TAL55PERF60RET89n=10 · 8 METRICS · 56 OBS
▸LB37TAL47PERF37RET98n=4 · 9 METRICS · 26 OBS
▸DB49TAL60PERF49RET54n=10 · 6 METRICS · 57 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS12 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SYAIR TORRENCEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JUDAH PRUITTHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
ASHTON MCSHANEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JADON LAFONTANTHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
JOHNATHAN MONTAGUE JR.HS RECRUITQB★3UNR
TURBO RICHARDHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
CHARLIE COMELLAHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
PAPE ABDOULAYE SYHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
KEMORI DIXONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JAYZEN FLINTHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN10 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JORDAN MCDONALDUCFRB★3★3
KAMARI MORALESNORTH CAROLINATE★3★3
JERAND BRADLEYTEXAS TECHWR★3★3
TRESHAUN WARDKANSAS STATERB★3★3
JAYDEN MCGOWANVANDERBILTWR★3★3
SEDARIUS MCCONNELLILLINOISDL★3★3
CAMERON MARTINEZOHIO STATES★4★3
BRYQUICE BROWNGEORGIA STATECB★3★3
RYAN TURNEROHIO STATECB★4★3
GRAYSON JAMESFLORIDA INTERNATIONALQB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT25 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SHITTA SILLAHPURDUEDE★3★3
CJ CLINKSCALES JR.CHARLOTTEDB★3UNR
PATRICK GARWO IIINEVADARB★4★3
JADEN WILLIAMSTEXAS STATEWRUNR★3
CHARLIE GORDINIERSACRED HEARTTE★3★3
CAM BARFIELDHAWAI'IRB★3★3
TAJI JOHNSONBUFFALOWR★3★3
XAVIER COLEMANLAMARRB★3★3
ANDRE HINES JRWAGNERRB★3UNR
HANS LILLISEASTERN MICHIGANTE★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES15%6 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS34%9 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#95NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 12 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8538COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1017 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST84% BACK84th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG84% BACK84th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR95%95th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR51%51th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST54%54th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE