SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2023 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›LIBERTY›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
CONFERENCE USA|JAMEY CHADWELL|—RECORD13-1|CONF—
LIBERTY#25 AP 49 FPICUSA · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
9FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
30%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
72%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-1IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1110 BC / 14
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
13-0ACTUALvs10.4-2.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+2.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+18.1
13 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE83
PERFORMANCE83
TALENT56
CONTINUITY30
DEFENSE14
PERFORMANCE14
TALENT47
CONTINUITY72
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE14 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
30MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HBOWLING GREEN—W 34-24182929+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HNEW MEXICO STATE—W 33-17174545+30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16ABUFFALO—W 55-2781111+64BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23AFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 38-63444+71BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HSAM HOUSTON—W 21-1671414+61BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 10AJACKSONVILLE STATE—W 31-1364747+28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 17HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 42-35352424+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 24AWESTERN KENTUCKY—W 42-29364545+30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HLOUISIANA TECH—W 56-30241616+59BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HOLD DOMINION—W 38-10122323+52BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HMASSACHUSETTS—W 49-254566+69BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AUTEP—W 42-281888+67BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 1HNEW MEXICO STATE—W 49-35174545+30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLJAN 1AOREGON#6L 6-45939898-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB69TAL88PERF69RET98ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
KAIDON SALTERQB SERET
★4★38496%+36FELL
1
JOHNATHAN BENNETTQB SERET
★3★2142%-11FELL
12
ZAK BURNETTQB JURET
UNR—101%——
8
TREY LOWEQB SENO SNAPS
★3—71%-4—
10
NATE HAMPTONQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
16
REESE MOONEYQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB63TAL47PERF63RET2ONE OWNERn=3 · 5 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
20
QUINTON COOLEYRB SEPORTAL · WAKE FOREST
★3★39250%+26HELD
0
BILLY LUCASRB SENO SNAPS
★3—7730%+25—
23
JAMES JOINTER JR.RB SENO SNAPS
★3★3528%+20HELD
24
VAUGHN BLUERB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—476%+27—
2
VICTOR VENNRB SONO SNAPS
★3★3303%—HELD
23
MALIK CAPERRB SERET
★3—282%-55—
26
JAYLIN BELFORDRB SERET
UNR—91%——
39
RUSSIAN WILLIAMSRB JURET
UNR—00%——
28
JUSTIN GIPSONRB SORET
UNR—00%——
33
KYLE HANKSRB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE47TAL36PERF53RET79ONE OWNERn=7 · 7 METRICS · 45 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
83
AUSTIN HENDERSONTE SERET
★3—9448%-1—
15
BENTLEY HANSHAWTE SERET
★2—9245%+39—
7
CJ DANIELSWR SERET
★3★48227%+36ROSE
5
NOAH FRITHWR SERET
UNR—7623%+23—
21
TREON SIBLEYWR SERET
★2—6917%+32—
9
ELIJAH SMOOTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—6212%+35—
82
AARON BEDGOODWR SENO SNAPS
★2★26112%+15HELD
1
KYLEN AUSTINWR SERET
★3—495%——
88
BILLY DUROCHERTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—414%——
17
BO BURKLOWTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—343%——
6
ERROL ROGERS JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
★3★2322%-24FELL
2
MARKEL FORTENBERRYWR SERET
★3★3251%—HELD
22
COLEMAN BAKERWR JURET
UNR—151%——
86
EDDIE OGLEWR SERET
UNR—151%——
84
JACOB JENKINSTE SENO SNAPS
★2—141%+51—
1
DARIUS COPELANDWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—60%——
13
D'WAYNE CRAWFORDWR SERET
UNR—60%——
48
CALEB RYANTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—50%——
6
REESE SMITHWR SEPORTAL · WEST VIRGINIA
★3★300%-33HELD
11
VICTOR JONES JR.WR SOPORTAL · NEBRASKA
★3★300%—HELD
80
COLE PETERLINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
40
ANDERSON ST. CLAIRTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
87
CALEB BOTCHWAYWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
JERRY MERVILWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL57TAL59PERF57RET19n=6 · 3 METRICS · 17 OBS
▸DL43TAL56PERF43RET54n=12 · 8 METRICS · 57 OBS
▸LB38TAL15PERF38RET70n=5 · 10 METRICS · 30 OBS
▸DB46TAL51PERF47RET82n=10 · 8 METRICS · 52 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS12 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
REESE MOONEYHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
CAL GRUBBSHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
JAMAL MILESHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
AARON FENIMOREHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
CHRISTIAN BODNARHS RECRUITS★3UNR
OLAN ROBINSONHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
TJ BUSH JR.HS RECRUITDL★3UNR
LARRY JONES IIIHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
BO BURKLOWHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
TAJH BOYDHS RECRUITOTUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN13 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
REESE SMITHWEST VIRGINIAWR★3★3
VICTOR JONES JR.NEBRASKAWR★3★3
JOSHUA WIGGINSCOLORADOCBUNR★3
JACK TUCKERTEXAS TECHOT★3★3
QUINTON COOLEYWAKE FORESTRB★3★3
BRYSON JENNINGSNORTH CAROLINALB★3★3
TREY LOWE IIISOUTHERN MISSQBUNR★3
ERROL ROGERSLOUISIANAWRUNR★3
JAMES JOINTERARKANSASRBUNR★3
JORDAN WHITEWEST VIRGINIAIOLUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT31 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHRIS MEGGINSONSMUCBUNR★3
AHMAD WALKERSMULB★3★3
MIKE SMITH JR.BAYLORLBUNRUNR
DAIJAHN ANTHONYOLE MISSSUNRUNR
DRE BUTLERMICHIGAN STATEDLUNR★4
STEPHEN SINGS VAUBURNDL★3UNR
SHEDRO LOUISTULANERBUNRUNR
REGGIE YOUNGCOLORADOGUNRUNR
JAIVIAN LOFTONUTAH TECHWRUNR★3
TIM COUTRASTENNESSEE TECHDB★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES64%6 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS77%11 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#111NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8437COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1314 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
27TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
6
10
5
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-4 TO +8 W
IMPROVED9 OF 27
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST54% BACK54th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG54% BACK54th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR19%19th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR98%98th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST82%82th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE