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HOME›TEAMS›MIAMI (OH)›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|CHUCK MARTIN|—RECORD11-3|CONF—
MIAMI (OH)71 FPIMAC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
21FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
63%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
89%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-7IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1050 BC / 16
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
11-2ACTUALvs10.0-3.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+10.8
11 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE16
PERFORMANCE16
TALENT52
CONTINUITY63
DEFENSE55
PERFORMANCE55
TALENT46
CONTINUITY89
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE14 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
32MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1AMIAMI—L 3-38928080-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9AMASSACHUSETTS—W 41-284566+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16ACINCINNATI—W 31-24643434+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HDELAWARE STATE—W 62-20————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5SEP 30AKENT STATE—W 23-31500+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HBOWLING GREEN—W 27-0182929+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14AWESTERN MICHIGAN—W 34-211999+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HTOLEDO—L 17-21376161-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28AOHIO—W 30-16124747+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HAKRON—W 19-02622+54BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15HBUFFALO—W 23-1081111+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25ABALL STATE—W 17-15201111+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 2ATOLEDO—W 23-14376161-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 16AAPP STATE—L 9-13396161-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB46TAL67PERF46RET99ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
BRETT GABBERTQB SEPORTAL · MIAMI (OH)
★3★37363%+26HELD
0
AVEON SMITHQB SERET
★3★36234%-37HELD
12
HENRY HESSONQB SERET
★3—213%——
18
MADDOX KOPPQB SEPORTAL · COLORADO
★3★341%-44HELD
4
BEN TARPEYQB JURET
UNR—00%——
16
ORIN EDWARDSQB SORET
★3—00%——
19
MATT MACLEODQB SORET
★2—00%——
17
BLAKE LICHTENBERGQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB55TAL49PERF55RET49ONE OWNERn=4 · 5 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
30
RASHAD AMOSRB SEPORTAL · SOUTH CAROLINA
★3★38749%+4HELD
9
KENNY TRACYRB SERET
★3—6620%+12—
8
KEVIN DAVISRB SERET
★2★26419%+22HELD
3
KEYON MOZEERB SERET
★3★3477%-29HELD
6
JORDAN BRUNSONRB SERET
★3—273%+39—
23
NATE MILANOWSKIRB JURET
UNR—252%+38—
24
DANNY DUNLOPRB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE41TAL53PERF41RET47ONE OWNERn=5 · 7 METRICS · 35 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
JOE WILKINS JR.WR SENO SNAPS
★3—8223%+18—
7
GAGE LARVADAINWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★37719%+36EMERGED
47
LUKE BOLDENTE SERET
★2—7647%——
13
MILES MARSHALLWR SERET
★3—7619%+8—
11
JAVON TRACYWR SERET
★3★37519%+25HELD
15
CADE MCDONALDWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—7217%+10—
80
JACK DEJARLDTE JURET
UNR—6733%——
88
NATE MUERSCHTE SERET
★3—5416%+33—
1
REGGIE VIRGILWR SERET
★3★4453%-31ROSE
89
JACK COLDIRONTE SERET
★3—293%+2—
86
BRIAN SHANETE SERET
UNR—00%——
48
CHASE BECKERTE JURET
UNR—00%——
81
QUE WILLIAMSWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
22
MATT REARDONWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
81
JACKSON IZZARDWR JURET
UNR—00%——
16
RYAN SIMSWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
SAM BARRYWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
39
AJ MIRGONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
10
LYNEL BILLUPS-WILLIAMSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
22
CHRISTIAN SCHOMERWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
COLE WEAVERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
20
TOMMY GALLAGHERWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
21
WILL BRADLEYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
87
RJ DENTWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL42TAL43PERF42RET82n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL45TAL46PERF45RET99n=8 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
▸LB44TAL37PERF44RET95n=6 · 11 METRICS · 33 OBS
▸DB46TAL53PERF47RET69n=9 · 6 METRICS · 44 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS16 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHRISTIAN MCKINNEYHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
MYCHAL YHARBROUGHHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
RYAN SIMSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ROOSEVELT ANDREWS IIIHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
BEN DECKERHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
EDWARD HARTIGHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
MALCOLM MCCAINHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JANERIOUS JACKSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
LYNEL BILLUPS-WILLIAMSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
QUE WILLIAMSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN3 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOHN YOUNGKENTUCKYOT★4★4
MADDOX KOPPCOLORADOQB★3★3
RASHAD AMOSSOUTH CAROLINARB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT17 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RUSTY FETHIOWAOL★2★3
JOHN SAUNDERS JR.OLE MISSS★3UNR
CALEB SHAFFEROKLAHOMAOL★3★3
NOLAN JOHNSONOLD DOMINIONCB★3UNR
TYRE SHELTONLOUISIANA TECHRB★2★2
RYAN MCWOODELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
JOHN BREKKEELIGIBILITY UPOL★3—
MAC HIPPENHAMMERELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
JALEN WALKERELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
MATT BJORSONELIGIBILITY UPTE★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES21%3 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS63%6 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#105NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 16 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8192COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
310 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST78% BACK78th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG78% BACK78th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR82%82th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST69%69th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE