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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGEPRESEASON · NO CHARTED PLAY
BIG TEN|KYLE WHITTINGHAM|—RECORD2-0|CONF—
MICHIGAN22 FPIB1G · 2026 SEASON
TALENT
93FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
87%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
12%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-16IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1213 BC / 24
BC RATIO
53%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
No scoring record for this season yet, so there is nothing to compare the win-loss record against.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT99
CONTINUITY87
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT83
CONTINUITY12
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE2 PLAYED · 10 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
68MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
70MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
+2REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 5PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 5HWESTERN MICHIGAN—W 13-12224444+38BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 12HOKLAHOMA#11W 17-10889191-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 19HUTEP—UPCOMING261111+71STILL TO COME
4SEP 26HIOWA#21UPCOMING6982820HARDEST REMAINING TIER
5OCT 3AMINNESOTA—UPCOMING716060+22STILL TO COME
7OCT 17HPENN STATE#16UPCOMING828989-7HARDEST REMAINING TIER
8OCT 24HINDIANA#5UPCOMING739797-15HARDEST REMAINING TIER
9OCT 31ARUTGERS—UPCOMING664242+40STILL TO COME
10NOV 7HMICHIGAN STATE—UPCOMING565757+25STILL TO COME
11NOV 14AOREGON#6UPCOMING999494-12HARDEST REMAINING TIER
12NOV 21HUCLA—UPCOMING827373+9HARDEST REMAINING TIER
13NOV 28AOHIO STATE#1UPCOMING979999-17HARDEST REMAINING TIER
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB64TAL100PERF65RET100ONE OWNERn=1 · 5 METRICS · 5 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
19
BRYCE UNDERWOODQB SORET
★5—61100%-12—
16
BRAYDEN FOWLER-NICOLOSIQB SEPORTAL · COLORADO STATE
★3★300%-4HELD
17
BRADY SMIGIELQB FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
15
CHASE HERBSTREITQB SORET
★3—00%——
14
TOMMY CARRQB FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
▾RB70TAL94PERF70RET72ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 20 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
JORDAN MARSHALLRB JURET
★4—8569%+15—
5
SAVION HITERRB FRTRUE FR
★5—4628%——
24
BRYSON KUZDZALRB SERET
★2★203%-9HELD
25
MICAH KA'APANARB JURET
★3—00%-49—
26
DONOVAN JOHNSONRB SORET
★3—00%——
36
TOMAS O'MEARARB JURET
UNR—00%+35—
29
JONATHAN BROWNRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
32
GARY STACYRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE71TAL92PERF71RET68ONE OWNERn=10 · 7 METRICS · 36 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
42
JALEN HOFFMANTE SERET
UNR—8576%——
3
ANDREW MARSHWR SORET
★4—8236%+24—
6
JJ BUCHANANWR SOPORTAL · UTAH
★3★48034%+32ROSE
9
CHANNING GOODWINWR JURET
★3—5017%-10—
12
SALESI MOAWR FRPORTAL · UTAH
★4★4278%—HELD
83
ZACK MARSHALLTE SERET
★3—1411%+31—
44
ELI OWENSTE SORET
★3—108%——
13
TRAVIS JOHNSONWR FRTRUE FR
★4—93%——
18
MASON BONNERTE FRTRUE FR
★3—55%——
10
JAIME FFRENCHWR SONO SNAPS
★4—02%——
0
KENDRICK BELLWR SERET
★3—00%-55—
88
DEAKON TONIELLITE SERET
★4—00%-28—
80
HOGAN HANSENTE JURET
★4—00%-4—
85
LOGAN FORBESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
38
BRYCE WILCOXWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
JACOB WASHINGTONWR SORET
★4—00%——
20
JAYLEN PILEWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
81
JAMAR BROWDERWR SORET
★3—00%——
89
KALEB SCHLECHTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
22
BRAYDON ALFORDWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
46
CRANDALL QUINNTE SERET
UNR—00%——
40
JIMMY PISANITE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL67TAL84PERF67RET99n=7 · 2 METRICS · 13 OBS
▸DL52TAL85PERF52RET75n=9 · 7 METRICS · 57 OBS
▸LB61TAL69PERF61RET17n=5 · 11 METRICS · 36 OBS
▸DB64TAL79PERF64RET56n=7 · 7 METRICS · 25 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CARTER MEADOWSHS RECRUITEDGE★5UNR
SAVION HITERHS RECRUITRB★5UNR
TITAN DAVISHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
MALAKAI LEEHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
TRAVIS JOHNSONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JAMARION VINCENTHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
ALISTER VALLEJOHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
MARKY WALBRIDGEHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
TARIQ BONEYHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
TOMMY CARRHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN5 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JJ BUCHANANUTAHWR★3★4
JOHN HENRY DALEYUTAHEDGE★3★4
SMITH SNOWDENUTAHCB★4★4
SALESI MOAUTAHCB★4★4
TAYLOR TATUMOKLAHOMARB★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT35 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TJ METCALFTENNESSEEDB★3★3
BRANDYN HILLMANVIRGINIAS★4★3
JADEN MANGHAMPURDUEDB★4★3
COLE SULLIVANOKLAHOMALB★4★3
JAYDEN SANDERSNOTRE DAMECB★4★4
JUSTICE HAYNESGEORGIA TECHRB★5★4
SEMAJ MORGANUCLAWR★3★3
ELIJAH DOTSONMISSOURIS★4★4
JASPER PARKERARKANSASRB★4★3
TEVIS METCALFTENNESSEEDB★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES31%4 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS49%5 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#12NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
13OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9035COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1632 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST71% BACK71th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG71% BACK71th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR98%98th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST56%56th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE