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● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
BIG TEN|MATT RHULE|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
NEBRASKA41 FPIB1G · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
84FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
58%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
81%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#188 BC / 37
BC RATIO
26%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs7.3-4.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN+4.0
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE55
PERFORMANCE55
TALENT81
CONTINUITY58
DEFENSE77
PERFORMANCE77
TALENT78
CONTINUITY81
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
62MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HUTEP—W 40-71233+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HCOLORADO#25W 28-10787171-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HNORTHERN IOWA—W 34-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 20HILLINOIS#16L 24-31557777-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28APURDUE—W 28-10741010+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HRUTGERS—W 14-7586969-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AINDIANA#10L 7-56599292-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AOHIO STATE#1L 17-2199100100-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HUCLA—L 20-27804444+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16AUSC—L 20-28908383-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HWISCONSIN—W 44-25815656+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29AIOWA—L 10-13728989-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 28HBOSTON COLLEGE—W 20-15584848+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB46TAL99PERF46RET0ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
DYLAN RAIOLAQB JUNO SNAPS
★5★49399%+16FELL
12
JALYN GRAMSTADQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—91%——
10
DANIEL KAELINQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
17
LUKE LONGVALQB JURET
UNR—00%——
11
BODE SOUKUPQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB64TAL67PERF64RET70ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 18 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
EMMETT JOHNSONRB JURET
★3★39145%-10HELD
22
DANTE DOWDELLRB SEPORTAL · OREGON
★4★48128%+23HELD
14
RAHMIR JOHNSONRB SERET
★3—7421%+2—
22
GABE ERVIN JR.RB JURET
★3★3343%-17HELD
21
KWINTEN IVESRB JURET
★3—222%——
33
MAURICE MAZZCCUARB SERET
UNR—141%——
34
BARRET LIEBENTRITTFB JURET
UNR—00%——
32
KENNETH WILLIAMSRB JURET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
35
MEKHI NELSONRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
40
TREVOR RUTHFB SORET
UNR—00%——
45
IZAAC DICKEYRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
31
RYKER EVANSRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
32
TRENT UHLIRRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE58TAL83PERF57RET54ROTATIONn=9 · 8 METRICS · 44 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
80
JAHMAL BANKSWR SEPORTAL · WAKE FOREST
★3★49229%+16ROSE
24
THOMAS FIDONE IITE JURET
★4—9041%+5—
18
ISAIAH NEYORWR SEPORTAL · TEXAS
★2★38826%+20ROSE
2
JACORY BARNEY JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
★4—8322%+7—
87
NATE BOERKIRCHERTE SERET
UNR★38030%-1EMERGED
44
LUKE LINDENMEYERTE SERET
UNR—6919%——
19
JAYLEN LLOYDWR SERET
★3★3649%+36HELD
4
JANIRAN BONNERWR SERET
★4—618%-57—
29
CARTER NELSONTE JUNO SNAPS
★4—486%+2—
84
ALEX BULLOCKWR SERET
UNR—473%+18—
10
HEINRICH HAARBERGTE SERET
★3—343%——
2
ISAIAH GARCIA-CASTANEDAWR SERET
UNR★2301%+12EMERGED
18
QUINN CLARKWR SONO SNAPS
★3—130%——
15
KEELAN SMITHWR SONO SNAPS
★3—130%——
86
AJ ROLLINSTE JURET
★3★3111%—HELD
48
CAYDEN ECHTERNACHTE JURET
UNR—70%——
26
ROMAN MANGINIWR SERET
UNR—70%——
8
ISAIAH MCMORRISWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
49
DANNY KINGTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
ERIC INGWERSONTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
87
IAN FLYNTTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
8
ISMAEL SMITH FLORESTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
41
ELLIOTT BROWNWR JURET
★4—00%——
87
MAC MARKWAYTE JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
11
DEMITRIUS BELLWR JURET
★3—00%——
83
DAE'VONN HALLWR FRTRUE FR
★4★300%—FELL
88
COOPER HAUSMANNWR SORET
UNR—00%——
46
CONNOR SCHUTTTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
HAYES MILLERWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL65TAL77PERF66RET78n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL66TAL85PERF66RET87n=10 · 8 METRICS · 45 OBS
▸LB65TAL84PERF65RET79n=8 · 11 METRICS · 42 OBS
▸DB49TAL68PERF49RET77n=8 · 6 METRICS · 39 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DYLAN RAIOLAHS RECRUITQB★5UNR
CARTER NELSONHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
GRANT BRIXHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
PRESTON TAUMUAHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
MARIO BUFORDHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
DAE'VONN HALLHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
ROGER GRADNEYHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
JACORY BARNEY JR.HS RECRUITATH★4UNR
ISAIAH MCMORRISHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
VINCENT SHAVERS JR.HS RECRUITLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN6 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DANTE DOWDELLOREGONRB★4★4
JAHMAL BANKSWAKE FORESTWR★3★4
BLYE HILLSAINT FRANCIS (PA)CBUNR★3
CEYAIR WRIGHTUSCCB★4★3
ISAIAH NEYORTEXASWR★2★3
MICAH MAZZCCUAFLORIDAIOL★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT29 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHIEF BORDERSPITTSBURGHLB★4★3
TAMON LYNUMPITTSBURGHDB★3★3
CHUBBA PURDYNEVADAQB★4★4
RU'QUAN BUCKLEYMICHIGAN STATEDL★3★3
JEFF SIMSARIZONA STATEQB★4★3
JAKE APPLEGETNORTHERN ILLINOISTE★3★3
OMAR BROWNELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
QUINTON NEWSOMEELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
NOUREDIN NOUILIELIGIBILITY UPOL★3—
LUKE REIMERELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES42%7 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS49%6 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#18NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
8OF 37 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8722COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
810 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST59% BACK59th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG59% BACK59th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR78%78th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST77%77th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE