SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2023 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NORTHERN ILLINOIS›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|THOMAS HAMMOCK|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
NORTHERN ILLINOIS94 FPIMWC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
13FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
62%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
79%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-7IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1030 BC / 23
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs7.2-4.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN+4.1
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE27
PERFORMANCE27
TALENT29
CONTINUITY62
DEFENSE27
PERFORMANCE27
TALENT31
CONTINUITY79
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
25MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2ABOSTON COLLEGE—W 27-24613838-8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HSOUTHERN ILLINOIS—L 11-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 16ANEBRASKA—L 11-35855151-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HTULSA—L 14-22401515+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30ATOLEDO—L 33-35376161-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AAKRON—W 55-142622+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HOHIO—W 23-13124747-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HEASTERN MICHIGAN—W 20-13161818+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10OCT 31ACENTRAL MICHIGAN—L 31-37955+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 7HBALL STATE—L 17-20201111+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 14HWESTERN MICHIGAN—W 24-01999+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AKENT STATE—W 37-271500+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 23HARKANSAS STATE—W 21-19343737-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB33TAL5PERF33RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
ROCKY LOMBARDIQB SERET
★3★38491%-18HELD
5
ETHAN HAMPTONQB SERET
★3★3419%-22HELD
7
C.J. JORDANQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
13
NEVAN CREMASCOLIQB JURET
UNR—00%-42—
18
MASON KIDDQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
15
JOSH HOLSTQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB22TAL26PERF22RET56ROTATIONn=3 · 9 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
ANTARIO BROWNRB SERET
★3—9244%+32—
21
GAVIN WILLIAMSRB SEPORTAL · IOWA
★3★39039%-12HELD
49
BROCK LAMPEFB SERET
UNR—5911%+14—
25
CHRISTIAN NASHRB FRRET
★2—201%——
26
KENDRELL FLOWERSRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★3171%-52HELD
21
JAYLEN POERB JUNO SNAPS
UNR★3171%—EMERGED
31
GARRETT GENSLERRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
30
GREIGH JOSEPHRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
32
JOSHUA PRIDGENRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE45TAL40PERF44RET27ROTATIONn=9 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
TRAYVON RUDOLPHWR SERET
★3★38529%+12HELD
80
GRAYSON BARNESTE SENO SNAPS
UNR★38237%+53EMERGED
11
CHRIS CARTERTE SENO SNAPS
★3—7832%+46—
82
TRISTEN TEWESTE SERET
UNR—7530%-16—
9
DAVIS PATTERSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—7219%+20—
16
JALEN JOHNSONWR SORET
★3★26716%-36FELL
8
KACPER RUTKIEWICZWR SERET
UNR—6716%+20—
89
DANE PARDRIDGEWR SERET
★2★2558%+19HELD
10
BILLY DOZIERWR JURET
★2★2516%-50HELD
6
KYLE THOMASWR SONO SNAPS
★3★2383%—FELL
7
CAM THOMPSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★3362%—EMERGED
5
JUSTIN LYNCHWR SERET
★3—343%——
6
KEYSHAUN PIPKINWR JURET
★3★3281%—HELD
86
TREY URWILERWR SORET
★3★2130%—FELL
42
TYLER GAINESTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
36
JAMES SMITH JR.WR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
89
DREW CASSENSTE SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
1
ISAIAH BRAGGWR SERET
UNR—00%——
14
MALIK ARMSTRONGWR SERET
★2—00%——
17
ELI REEDWR FRRET
★2★200%—HELD
38
CHRIS STINSONTE FRRET
★3—00%——
16
KOBE ASKEWWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
48
GAVIN PATRICKTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
HYATT TIMOSCIEKTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
CHRISTOPHER GOREWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL44TAL29PERF44RET83n=7 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL38TAL33PERF38RET90n=9 · 8 METRICS · 57 OBS
▸LB23TAL18PERF23RET31n=3 · 8 METRICS · 24 OBS
▸DB50TAL32PERF50RET93n=12 · 6 METRICS · 58 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
THOMAS PAASCHHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
MICHAEL JIMMARHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
MAHKI ROLLEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
MASON KIDDHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
RASEAN RANDALLHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JACOB WELCHHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
BRYCE HARRISONHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
RYAN MCDONALDHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
SANTANA BANNERHS RECRUITS★3UNR
KYLE THOMASHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN4 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAKE SEIBERTOHIO STATEK★3★3
CAM'RON DABNEYKANSASCB★3★3
KESHON ARTISVIRGINIA TECHLB★3★3
GAVIN WILLIAMSIOWARB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT24 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAVEREN RAYNERKENTUCKYLB★3★3
ERIC ROGERSRUTGERSDB★3★3
HARRISON WAYLEEWYOMINGRB★3★3
MARQUES COXKENTUCKYOL★3★3
FABIAN MCCRAYJACKSON STATEWR★3UNR
JEFFREY GRIFFIN JR.NORTH DAKOTADTUNRUNR
JAIDEN CREDLEMIDDLE TENNESSEERB★3★2
MASON KINGILLINOIS STATERBUNRUNR
IZAYAH GREEN-MAYELIGIBILITY UPDE★3—
LIAM SORAGHANELIGIBILITY UPTE★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES55%4 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS71%8 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#103NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8113COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
411 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST56% BACK56th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG56% BACK56th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR83%83th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST93%93th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE