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● LIVE|2026 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGEPRESEASON · NO CHARTED PLAY
MOUNTAIN WEST|KEN NIUMATALOLO|—RECORD2-1|CONF—
SAN JOSÉ STATE116 FPIMWC · 2026 SEASON
TALENT
20FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
33%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
3%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1290 BC / 16
BC RATIO
5%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
No scoring record for this season yet, so there is nothing to compare the win-loss record against.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT51
CONTINUITY33
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT36
CONTINUITY3
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE3 PLAYED · 10 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
52MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
35MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
-17REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 29AUSC#14L 26-42949292-75BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
1SEP 4AEASTERN MICHIGAN—W 27-21261212+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 12HCAL POLY—W 30-20————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 19HFRESNO STATE—UPCOMING374646-29STILL TO COME
5OCT 3AHAWAI'I—UPCOMING173737-20STILL TO COME
6OCT 9HWYOMING—UPCOMING81515+2STILL TO COME
7OCT 17AUTEP—UPCOMING261111+6STILL TO COME
8OCT 24ANEVADA—UPCOMING152424-7STILL TO COME
9OCT 31HNEW MEXICO—UPCOMING196161-44STILL TO COME
10NOV 7HNORTHERN ILLINOIS—UPCOMING999+8STILL TO COME
11NOV 14AAIR FORCE—UPCOMING14949-32STILL TO COME
12NOV 21HUNLV—UPCOMING604343-26STILL TO COME
13NOV 27HNORTH DAKOTA STATE—UPCOMING55959-42STILL TO COME
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB59TAL0PERF59RET0ONE OWNERn=1 · 5 METRICS · 5 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
LUKE WEAVERQB SEPORTAL · HAWAI'I
UNR★398100%-14EMERGED
8
ROBERT MCDANIELQB FRRET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
5
DANIEL ROLOVICHQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
16
CJ LEEQB SORET
★3—00%——
14
HUDSON WYATTQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB50TAL52PERF50RET94ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 17 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
JABARI BATESRB SERET
★3—9882%-16—
20
VILIAMI TEURB JURET
★3—3312%-30—
21
ISAIAH CARLSONRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★3136%—HELD
22
TYLER JACKLICHRB JUPORTAL · WEST VIRGINIA
★2★300%—ROSE
24
SIR AUTRYRB FRRET
★3—00%——
26
COURSHAWN HILLRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
28
AARON COX JR.RB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE38TAL54PERF43RET28ONE OWNERn=11 · 7 METRICS · 50 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
JERRY MCCLUREWR JUPORTAL · SAN DIEGO STATE
★4★39919%-35FELL
13
COOPER HOCHWR JURET
★3—9917%+2—
1
CARSON CLARKWR FRTRUE FR
★3—9917%-15—
10
ANTHONY IVEYWR SEPORTAL · PENN STATE
★4★39815%—FELL
0
JORDAN ANDERSONWR SONO SNAPS
★3★39613%-3HELD
83
KAMAEHU KOPA-KAAWALAUOLETE JURET
★3—9297%——
9
JASE NIXWR FRRET
★3—889%——
4
DOMINIQUE MCKENZIEWR SOPORTAL · BYU
★3★3696%—HELD
7
TAMA AMISONEWR SORET
★3—473%——
11
MALACHI RILEYWR JURET
★3★3161%-37HELD
88
RYAN BOULTWOODTE JURET
★3★303%—HELD
19
CODY HALLWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
MAX FRIEDMANTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
33
PARRIS VERNON JR.WR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
82
BRAIDEN BACHICH-DIXONTE FRRET
★3—00%——
23
DEVIN OLMANDEWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
17
RYKER RUELASWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
18
TRACE HERNANDEZWR SORET
★2—00%——
80
JEREMIAH FUNGWR FRRET
★3—00%——
85
SHANE KILEYTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▸OL46TAL31PERF46RET87n=8 · 2 METRICS · 15 OBS
▸DL38TAL37PERF38RET63n=9 · 7 METRICS · 58 OBS
▸LB36TAL39PERF36RET83n=7 · 11 METRICS · 67 OBS
▸DB40TAL60PERF40RET1n=9 · 7 METRICS · 46 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS16 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CARSON CLARKHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DEVIN OLMANDEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DANIEL ROLOVICHHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
BRONX LETULIGASENOAHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JOSEPH TERRYHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
VILIAMI LOTOANIUHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
LANCE MITCHELL JR.HS RECRUITATH★3UNR
COURSHAWN HILLHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
ANDREW LATUHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
KAMUELA WILHELMHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN9 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ISAIAH BUXTONSAN DIEGO STATECB★3★3
BRIAN TAPUNEBRASKAOT★3★3
IKINASIO TUPOUBYUOTUNR★3
ANTHONY IVEYPENN STATEWR★4★3
LAVAKA TAUKEIAHOOKLAHOMA STATEIOLUNR★3
BRIAN DUKES JR.CAL POLYS★3★3
AGENHART ELLIS IVCALIFORNIA LUTHERAN UNIVERSITYSUNR★3
AGENHART ELLIS IVCAL LUTHERANSUNR★3
JAYLAND MCGLOTHENSACRAMENTO STATEDL★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT32 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAYLEN THOMASWASHINGTON STATES★2★3
DANNY SCUDEROCOLORADOWR★3★3
KYRI SHOELSUTAHWR★3★3
WALKER EGETDUKEQB★3★3
LARRY TURNER-GOODENNEVADADB★4★3
JIREH MOEUTAHDT★3★3
CALEB PRESLEYCOLORADO STATECB★4★3
MATT COLEMANSACRAMENTO STATEWRUNR★3
STEVE CHAVEZ-SOTOUTAHRB★3★3
FLOYD CHALK IVSOUTHERN UTAHRB★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES39%2 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS39%4 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#129NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 16 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8473COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1816 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST14% BACK14th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG14% BACK14th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR87%87th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST1%1th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE