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● LIVE|2026 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGEPRESEASON · NO CHARTED PLAY
SEC|JOSH HEUPEL|—RECORD2-0|CONF—
TENNESSEE#18 AP 11 FPISEC · 2026 SEASON
TALENT
91FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
52%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
42%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-8IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#816 BC / 32
BC RATIO
47%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
No scoring record for this season yet, so there is nothing to compare the win-loss record against.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT77
CONTINUITY52
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT77
CONTINUITY42
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE2 PLAYED · 10 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
54MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
76MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
+22REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 4PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 5HFURMAN—W 56-9————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 12AGEORGIA TECH—W 45-24765454+39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 19HKENNESAW STATE—UPCOMING42020+73STILL TO COME
4SEP 26HTEXAS#4UPCOMING999696-3HARDEST REMAINING TIER
5OCT 3HAUBURN—UPCOMING887979+14HARDEST REMAINING TIER
6OCT 10AARKANSAS—UPCOMING745151+42STILL TO COME
7OCT 17HALABAMA#12UPCOMING9893930HARDEST REMAINING TIER
8OCT 24ASOUTH CAROLINA—UPCOMING908888+5HARDEST REMAINING TIER
10NOV 7HKENTUCKY—UPCOMING846363+30STILL TO COME
11NOV 14ATEXAS A&M#10UPCOMING969696-3HARDEST REMAINING TIER
12NOV 21HLSU#8UPCOMING959595-2HARDEST REMAINING TIER
13NOV 28AVANDERBILT—UPCOMING707575+18HARDEST REMAINING TIER
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB66TAL93PERF66RET22ONE OWNERn=3 · 5 METRICS · 7 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
FAIZON BRANDONQB FRTRUE FR
★5—5869%——
12
GEORGE MACINTYREQB FRRET
★4—2722%——
8
RYAN STAUBQB JUPORTAL · COLORADO
★3★3129%-13HELD
13
MASON PHILLIPSQB FRRET
UNR—00%——
▾RB66TAL65PERF66RET74ONE OWNERn=5 · 9 METRICS · 29 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
DESEAN BISHOPRB JURET
★3—8945%+29—
6
JAVIN GORDONRB SOPORTAL · TULANE
★3★36426%-44HELD
17
DAUNE MORRISRB SORET
★4—4015%-40—
24
HUNTER BARNESRB SERET
UNR—209%-38—
2
JUSTIN BAKERRB SORET
★3—136%+34—
34
WILL RAJECKIRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE76TAL87PERF76RET68ROTATIONn=15 · 7 METRICS · 67 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
MIKE MATTHEWSWR JURET
★5★47226%-2FELL
7
DASAAHN BRAMETE SORET
★4—6536%——
14
BRAYLON STALEYWR SORET
★4—6121%+14—
82
TRENT THOMASTE JUPORTAL · SOUTH ALABAMA
★3★35228%-40HELD
1
TRAVIS SMITH JR.WR SORET
★4—4412%——
5
TK KEYSWR FRTRUE FR
★5—4011%——
3
RADARIOUS JACKSONWR SORET
★4—4011%-34—
87
LUCA WOLFTE FRTRUE FR
★3—3620%——
88
DEON HARDINWR SERET
UNR—225%——
9
JOAKIM DODSONWR FRRET
★3—225%——
36
NATHAN ROBERTSWR JURET
UNR—164%——
80
COLE HARRISONTE SORET
★3—148%——
0
ETHAN DAVISTE JURET
★4—148%+30—
19
TYREEK KINGWR FRTRUE FR
★4—93%——
81
IAN DUARTEWR JUPORTAL · IDAHO STATE
★3★301%—HELD
44
DRAKE MARTINEZTE SEPORTAL · UT MARTIN
★3★300%—HELD
29
JACK-HENRY JAKOBIKWR JURET
UNR—00%——
26
DOREN SACHAWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
LUKE THOMPSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
35
BEN PETERMANNWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
38
BRAYDEN CARROLLWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
30
JACOLBY COOPERWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
31
LANE COPEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL71TAL81PERF71RET73n=12 · 2 METRICS · 24 OBS
▸DL69TAL86PERF69RET55n=16 · 7 METRICS · 83 OBS
▸LB59TAL74PERF59RET75n=8 · 7 METRICS · 38 OBS
▸DB55TAL75PERF55RET38n=10 · 7 METRICS · 19 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
FAIZON BRANDONHS RECRUITQB★5UNR
TK KEYSHS RECRUITWR★5UNR
JOEL WYATTHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
TJ WHITEHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
BRAYDEN ROUSEHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
GABRIEL OSENDAHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
CARTER GOODENHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
TYREEK KINGHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
KAMARI BLAIRHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
BREEZE CARTERHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN3 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHAZ COLEMANPENN STATEEDGE★4★5
XAVIER GILLIAMPENN STATEDL★3★4
KAYIN LEEAUBURNCB★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT40 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CALEB HERRINGSOUTH CAROLINADEUNR★3
KALEB BEASLEYLOUISVILLEDB★4★3
JORDAN ROSSLSUDE★5★4
BOO CARTERCOLORADODB★4★4
PEYTON LEWISVIRGINIARB★4★3
KELLEN LINDSTROMMISSOURI STATEDE★4★3
BRENDEN ANESWESTERN MICHIGANLB★3★3
JOSH SCHELLUCFDTUNR★3
TREY WEARYEAST TENNESSEE STATEWRUNRUNR
RICKEY GIBSON IIITEXAS A&MCB★4★4
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES51%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS39%8 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#8NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
16OF 32 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9066COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2129 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST37% BACK37th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG37% BACK37th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR73%73th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR22%22th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST38%38th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE