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● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UCONN›2024TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
FBS INDEPENDENTS|JIM MORA|—RECORD9-4|CONF—
UCONN79 FPIIND · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
27FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
50%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
61%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+4IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1180 BC / 13
BC RATIO
8%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
8-4ACTUALvs8.1-3.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+8.5
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE31
PERFORMANCE31
TALENT43
CONTINUITY50
DEFENSE57
PERFORMANCE57
TALENT37
CONTINUITY61
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
31MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31AMARYLAND—L 7-50643636+14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HMERRIMACK—W 63-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14ADUKE—L 21-26506868-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HFLORIDA ATLANTIC—W 48-14421616+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HBUFFALO—W 47-393535+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HTEMPLE—W 29-202555+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HWAKE FOREST—L 20-23493030+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HRICE—W 17-10281919+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1HGEORGIA STATE—W 34-273488+42BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9AUAB—W 31-23402020+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23ASYRACUSE#20L 24-31666666-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30AMASSACHUSETTS—W 47-424144+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 28ANORTH CAROLINA—W 27-14856464-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB45TAL44PERF45RET50ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
JOE FAGNANOQB SERET
UNR★27350%+3EMERGED
10
NICK EVERSQB SEPORTAL · WISCONSIN
★4★37248%-46FELL
12
TUCKER MCDONALDQB JURET
UNR—111%——
12
COLE WELLIVERQB FRTRUE FR
★3★391%—HELD
10
CALEB SMITHQB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
▾RB55TAL47PERF55RET41ROTATIONn=3 · 9 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
0
CAM EDWARDSRB SERET
UNR★38939%+5EMERGED
11
DURELL ROBINSONRB SEPORTAL · CHARLOTTE
★3★38229%+31HELD
1
MEL BROWNRB SENO SNAPS
★3★38228%+23—
4
VICTOR ROSARB SERET
★3★3424%-23HELD
46
JOHN BECHTLERB SERET
UNR—353%——
21
DANNY SHABANRB SORET
UNR—50%——
7
MEL BROWNRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%+35—
23
MALIK THOMASRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
FRANK DANILEYRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
44
OLIVER LUNDBERGRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE52TAL63PERF51RET41ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 38 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
SKYLER BELLWR SEPORTAL · WISCONSIN
★3★39329%+11HELD
81
LOUIS HANSENTE SERET
★4★49252%-10HELD
8
TJ SHEFFIELDWR SEPORTAL · PURDUE
★3★39228%-22HELD
8
JASAIAH GATHINGSWR SEPORTAL · AKRON
★3★39027%-27HELD
86
ALEX HONIGTE SERET
★3★38035%-28HELD
10
BRETT BUCKMANWR SERET
UNR—576%-7—
6
EZERIAH ANDERSONWR SEPORTAL · CAMPBELL
★3★3545%-15HELD
5
SHAMAR PORTERWR JUPORTAL · KENTUCKY
★4★4514%—HELD
88
NADER CHIRCHITE SERET
UNR★3394%—EMERGED
83
NICK HARRISTE SERET
UNR★2374%—EMERGED
30
DOMINIC TOYTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★3363%—HELD
9
BROCK MONTGOMERYWR SONO SNAPS
★3★3211%—HELD
6
JACKSON HARPERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
80
JOHN NEIDERWR JURET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
46
JAMES LARSONTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
COLE LAKATOSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
KYLISH HICKSWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
88
ZACK DRAWDY JR.WR SORET
★3—00%——
12
JARVIS JONESWR SORET
★2★200%—HELD
87
CLEMENS RICHTERTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
4
BRYAN DOMINOWR SORET
UNR—00%——
17
TEDDY WILLIAMSWR JURET
★2—00%——
15
TERRENCE SMITH JR.WR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%——
14
BRYCE ANDERSONTE FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
▸OL61TAL34PERF62RET68n=7 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL49TAL42PERF49RET68n=10 · 8 METRICS · 54 OBS
▸LB46TAL39PERF46RET53n=4 · 11 METRICS · 40 OBS
▸DB52TAL34PERF52RET49n=8 · 6 METRICS · 47 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS8 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
COLE WELLIVERHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
COOPER ACKERMANHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
DOMINIC TOYHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
BROCK MONTGOMERYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DERON MCLAUGHLINHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
KALEB STEWARTHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
DIEGO RODRIGUEZHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
ETHAN HOGGHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN17 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NICK EVERSWISCONSINQB★4★3
MEL BROWNGARDNER-WEBBRBUNR★3
MALACHI MCLEANNEW MEXICO STATES★3★3
TJ SHEFFIELDPURDUEWR★3★3
JAYDEN MCDONALDINDIANALB★3★3
JEVON BANKSKANSAS STATEDL★3★3
SHAMAR PORTERKENTUCKYWR★4★3
DURELL ROBINSONCHARLOTTERB★3★3
JORDAN WRIGHTKANSAS STATECBUNR★3
SKYLER BELLWISCONSINWR★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT37 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHRIS SHEARINJAMES MADISONS★3★3
JUSTIN JOLYNC STATETE★2★4
TA'QUAN ROBERSONKANSAS STATEQB★4★3
CAM ROSSJAMES MADISONWR★3★3
JALEN MITCHELLTENNESSEE TECHRB★3★3
JAMES BURNSPRAIRIE VIEW A&MWR★2★3
BRANDON NIEMENSKILONG ISLAND UNIVERSITYTE★3UNR
ZION TURNERJACKSONVILLE STATEQB★3★3
BRIAN BREWTONMIDDLE TENNESSEERB★3★3
NILAY UPADHYAYULAPITTSBURGHLSUNRUNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES62%9 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS70%8 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#118NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 13 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8323COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2420 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST40% BACK40th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG40% BACK40th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR68%68th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR50%50th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST49%49th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE