SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2025 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UTSA›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|JEFF TRAYLOR|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
UTSA62 FPIAAC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
53FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
75%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
63%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1070 BC / 11
BC RATIO
18%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs6.9-5.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+4.2
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE54
PERFORMANCE54
TALENT47
CONTINUITY75
DEFENSE56
PERFORMANCE56
TALENT54
CONTINUITY63
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
48MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30ATEXAS A&M#8L 24-42959494-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6HTEXAS STATE—L 36-43455353+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13HINCARNATE WORD—W 48-20————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 20ACOLORADO STATE—W 17-163499+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4ATEMPLE—L 21-27183636+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11HRICE—W 61-13231212+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18ANORTH TEXAS#24L 17-55318484-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10OCT 30HTULANE#18W 48-26516767-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 6ASOUTH FLORIDA—L 23-55567979-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15ACHARLOTTE—W 28-72211+54BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22HEAST CAROLINA—W 58-24447373-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29HARMY—L 24-2714646+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 26HFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 57-20292121+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB57TAL65PERF57RET92ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
OWEN MCCOWNQB SERET
★3★39492%+23HELD
11
BRANDON TENNISONQB JURET
★3—518%-21—
10
NOAH LUGOQB FRPORTAL · BYU
★3★300%—HELD
12
MAX GERLICHQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB48TAL71PERF48RET88ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 20 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
20
ROBERT HENRY JR.RB SERET
UNR—9247%+33—
1
WILL HENDERSON IIIRB SORET
★3—8637%+34—
28
A'MARION PETERSONRB JUPORTAL · USC
★4★36011%-13FELL
22
BRYSON DONNELLRB SERET
★3★3424%-24HELD
14
JOHN EMERY JR.RB SEPORTAL · LSU
★5★3111%-7FELL
25
FRANKIE ARTHUR JR.RB SORET
★4—00%——
42
MASON CULTONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
38
TJ ANDREWSRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
JC SOLITAIRERB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE63TAL49PERF62RET85ROTATIONn=9 · 8 METRICS · 55 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
DEVIN MCCUINWR SERET
★3★38926%+28HELD
87
HOUSTON THOMASTE SERET
★3★38635%+30HELD
9
PATRICK OVERMYERTE SERET
★3★38535%+34HELD
0
DAVID AMADOR IIWR JURET
★3—8322%+23—
84
AJ WILSON JR.WR SEPORTAL · HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
UNR★37919%+32EMERGED
5
DAN DISHMANTE SERET
★3—7220%+13—
15
DJ ALLEN JR.WR SERET
★4—7013%-3—
13
JAMEL HARDY JR.WR JURET
★3—6610%-25—
11
JAREN RANDLEWR SERET
UNR—545%-24—
81
DEVIN SCURATE SORET
★3★2495%—FELL
86
ISAIAH BUTLER-TANNERTE FRTRUE FR
★3—403%——
19
WILLIE MCCOY IIIWR SERET
UNR—372%+14—
14
MEKHI ANDERSONWR SORET
★3—301%——
82
ELLIOTT BROWWR SERET
UNR—281%——
85
TY RUPETE FRTRUE FR
★3—241%——
24
JAELEN SMITHWR SOPORTAL · MICHIGAN STATE
★3★3201%—HELD
87
JUSTICE HURTWR SERET
UNR—60%——
31
CALEB GARCIAWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
EZEKIEL SALDANAWR SORET
UNR—00%——
26
KINGSTON JONESWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
29
TANGOH NJOHWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
WYATT SMILEYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL45TAL39PERF45RET67n=7 · 3 METRICS · 20 OBS
▸DL47TAL61PERF47RET61n=12 · 8 METRICS · 58 OBS
▸LB44TAL51PERF44RET55n=9 · 11 METRICS · 66 OBS
▸DB45TAL51PERF45RET69n=11 · 6 METRICS · 45 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS10 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TY RUPEHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
MAX GERLICHHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
ISAIAH BUTLER-TANNERHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
KINGSTON JONESHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
A'MARION BRELANDHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
MARK RAYSON IIIHS RECRUITS★3UNR
ADEN HALLHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
COREY WALLSHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
KING JUSTICEHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
ZION JONESHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN15 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRANDON JACOB JR.UCFS★4★3
A'MARION PETERSONUSCRB★4★3
JOHN EMERY JR.LSURB★5★3
AJ WILSONHOUSTON CHRISTIANWRUNR★3
CAMERON BLAYLOCKTENNESSEE STATEDLUNR★3
SHAD BANKS JR.TCULB★4★3
JAELEN SMITHMICHIGAN STATEWR★3★3
BRANDON TUCKEREAST TEXAS A&MLBUNR★3
TREVOR TIMMONSGEORGIA STATEIOL★3★3
JASHAD PRESLEYUCFLB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT33 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MARTAVIUS FRENCHCOLORADOLB★4★3
JIMMORI ROBINSONWEST VIRGINIADLUNR★4
DENVER HARRISUNLVDB★4★3
RONALD TRIPLETTEGEORGIA TECHDL★3★3
BRANDON HIGH JR.CALIFORNIARB★3★3
KEVORIAN BARNESTCURB★3★3
EDDIE LEE MARBURGERUT RIO GRANDE VALLEYQB★3★3
ROCKO GRIFFINMASSACHUSETTSRB★3★3
KALEB BROWNTENNESSEE TECHLB★3★3
JACE WILSONSACRAMENTO STATEWR★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES43%8 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS37%9 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#107NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 11 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8427COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2020 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST99% BACK99th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG99% BACK99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR67%67th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR92%92th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST69%69th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE