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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGEPRESEASON · NO CHARTED PLAY
MID-AMERICAN|EDDIE GEORGE|—RECORD0-2|CONF—
BOWLING GREEN135 FPIMAC · 2026 SEASON
TALENT
20FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
39%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
21%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-10IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#750 BC / 27
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
No scoring record for this season yet, so there is nothing to compare the win-loss record against.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT38
CONTINUITY39
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT42
CONTINUITY21
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE2 PLAYED · 10 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
81MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
25MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
-56REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 5HTARLETON STATE—L 13-20————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 12ANEBRASKA—L 7-56858181-74BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 19AIOWA STATE—UPCOMING515757-50STILL TO COME
4SEP 26HSOUTH FLORIDA—UPCOMING634545-38STILL TO COME
5OCT 3AMIAMI (OH)—UPCOMING383434-27STILL TO COME
6OCT 10HSACRAMENTO STATE—UPCOMING1822+5STILL TO COME
7OCT 17HBALL STATE—UPCOMING1855+2STILL TO COME
8OCT 24ABUFFALO—UPCOMING131515-8STILL TO COME
9OCT 31AWESTERN MICHIGAN—UPCOMING224444-37STILL TO COME
11NOV 10HKENT STATE—UPCOMING644+3STILL TO COME
12NOV 20ATOLEDO—UPCOMING163939-32STILL TO COME
13NOV 28HMASSACHUSETTS—UPCOMING711+6STILL TO COME
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB35TAL0PERF35RET0ONE OWNERn=1 · 5 METRICS · 5 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
JAY KASTANTINQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—75100%+46—
16
AUSTIN NOVOSADQB JUPORTAL · OREGON
★4★300%—FELL
12
JARIN MOCKQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
10
HUNTER NAJMQB SORET
UNR★300%-3EMERGED
13
CALEB MOYERQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
15
DYLAN DREASKYQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB49TAL38PERF49RET85ONE OWNERn=3 · 4 METRICS · 12 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
AUSTYN DENDYRB SORET
★3★37458%-33HELD
2
NAKAI AMACHREERB SORET
★3—4027%-62—
4
KE'MARION BALDWINRB JUPORTAL · CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
UNR★32015%-61EMERGED
33
TRISTIN BLACKMONRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
20
MARCELES CAREYRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
44
LEO KEMPFB SERET
UNR—00%——
21
CARSON LOVETTRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL36PERF39RET12NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
ELI JACON-DUFFYTE SORET
★3—00%——
0
JEREMIAH SCOBYTE SORET
★3—00%-16—
5
BRENNAN RIDLEYWR JURET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
9
NICK SOWELLWR JUPORTAL · SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
UNR★300%—EMERGED
3
TREY JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—00%-61—
18
WINN SHARPWR SORET
★3—00%——
89
BLANE CLEAVERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
11
AUSTIN CLAYWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
80
OCEAN BRABBSTE SORET
UNR—00%——
83
PIERCE ST GEMEWR SORET
UNR—00%——
88
CARSEN MELVINTE FRRET
★3—00%——
6
ISAIAH DAWSONWR SOPORTAL · RICHMOND
UNR—00%——
86
DERRON GRAY JR.TE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
47
KENTRELL WHITETE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
85
REECE LITTLETE FRRET
★2—00%——
14
PAULY SADLERWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
84
TRENT TAYLORTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
25
CADE BROOKSWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
19
JOSEPH SAFFOLDWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
82
MADDOX HUNSTADTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
23
DOM WOODSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
87
REDDIK PILLARELLIWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL17PERF21RET4NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL46TAL33PERF46RET52n=5 · 7 METRICS · 32 OBS
▸LB54TAL27PERF54RET31n=3 · 7 METRICS · 15 OBS
▸DB40TAL30PERF40RET80n=5 · 5 METRICS · 25 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KENTRELL WHITEHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
ELIJAH DURHAM-SMITHHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
TRAVIS ROBERTSONHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JARIN MOCKHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
MADDOX HUNSTADHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
DERRON GRAY JR.HS RECRUITTE★3UNR
KINGSTON SEALSHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
CADEN CARTERHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
CHRIS NEWELL JR.HS RECRUITS★3UNR
TRENT MERRELLHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN4 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AUSTIN NOVOSADOREGONQB★4★3
ARMAHN HALENEW MEXICO STATESUNR★3
JOHN BAKER IVTOLEDOEDGE★3★3
KE'MARION BALDWINCHARLESTON SOUTHERNRBUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT41 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
GIDEON ESPN LAMPRONCOLORADOLBUNR★3
MJ CANNONCINCINNATIS★2★3
DAVID AFOGHOWEST VIRGINIAEDGEUNR★3
JACOB HARRISWISCONSINTEUNR★3
ALLEN MIDDLETONSOUTHERN ILLINOISWR★3★3
CAMERON PETTAWAYIOWA STATERB★3★3
KADERRIS ROBERTSDELAWARERBUNR★3
JUSTIN EKLUNDMONTANALB★3★3
LUCIAN ANDERSON IIISOUTH CAROLINAQBUNR★3
CHRIS EDMONDSCHICAGO STATERBUNRUNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES23%3 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS16%2 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#75NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 27 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8497COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1727 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST23% BACK23th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG23% BACK23th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR4%4th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST80%80th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE