SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2026 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›DUKE›2026TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGEPRESEASON · NO CHARTED PLAY
ACC|MANNY DIAZ|—RECORD2-0|CONF—
DUKE40 FPIACC · 2026 SEASON
TALENT
50FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
49%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
51%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#712 BC / 15
BC RATIO
9%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
No scoring record for this season yet, so there is nothing to compare the win-loss record against.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT69
CONTINUITY49
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT62
CONTINUITY51
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE2 PLAYED · 10 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
52MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
64MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
+12REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 2PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 5HTULANE—W 17-3503737+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 12AILLINOIS—W 31-27646666-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 19HSTANFORD—UPCOMING644141+24STILL TO COME
4SEP 26HWILLIAM & MARY—UPCOMING————NON-FBS OPPONENT
6OCT 10AGEORGIA TECH—UPCOMING765454+11STILL TO COME
7OCT 17HNORTH CAROLINA—UPCOMING806464+1STILL TO COME
8OCT 23AVIRGINIA#25UPCOMING628080-15HARDEST REMAINING TIER
9OCT 31HBOSTON COLLEGE—UPCOMING494242+23STILL TO COME
10NOV 7ANC STATE—UPCOMING777171-6HARDEST REMAINING TIER
11NOV 14AMIAMI#7UPCOMING929898-33HARDEST REMAINING TIER
12NOV 20HCLEMSON—UPCOMING897272-7HARDEST REMAINING TIER
13NOV 28AWAKE FOREST—UPCOMING555555+10STILL TO COME
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB59TAL65PERF59RET0ONE OWNERn=2 · 5 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
WALKER EGETQB SEPORTAL · SAN JOSÉ STATE
★3★36496%0HELD
10
DAN MAHANQB FRRET
★3—04%——
11
ARI PATUQB SEPORTAL · NORTH ALABAMA
★3★300%-37HELD
12
BLAINE HIPAQB SEPORTAL · PRINCETON
★3★300%—HELD
13
TERRY WALKER IIIQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
16
LAWRENCE GARDNERQB FRRET
UNR—00%——
▾RB56TAL72PERF56RET78ONE OWNERn=2 · 4 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
20
NATE SHEPPARDRB SORET
★4—9778%+16—
0
CJ CAMPBELL JR.RB SEPORTAL · RUTGERS
UNR★35622%+27EMERGED
83
PAUL HOLYFIELD JR.RB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
WILHELM DAAL IIRB SEPORTAL · YALE
★3★300%—HELD
28
COLE DENSONRB SORET
UNR—00%——
22
JAYVIAN TANELUSRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
26
CJ GIVERSRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL63PERF51RET20NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
JAKE TAYLORTE SERET
★3—00%-22—
85
JEREMIAH HASLEYTE SERET
★3—00%+13—
8
JAYDEN MOOREWR SORET
★3—00%-50—
46
TONY BOGGSTE JURET
★3—00%——
7
KAVON SIMMONSWR FRRET
★3—00%——
44
NATE KURISKYTE SEPORTAL · LOUISVILLE
★3★300%-2HELD
6
JONAH BURTONWR SEPORTAL · IDAHO STATE
UNR★300%+6EMERGED
5
JAVEN NICHOLASWR SEPORTAL · CHARLOTTE
UNR★300%+22EMERGED
17
JARED RICHARDSONWR SEPORTAL · PENNSYLVANIA
UNR★300%—EMERGED
81
BRETT ELLIOTTTE SORET
★3—00%——
18
BRODY KEEFEWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
4
JAIVON SOLOMONWR FRRET
★3—00%——
21
QEANU JOHNSONWR FRRET
★3—00%——
1
JAMIEN LITTLEWR FRRET
★3—00%——
88
PAXON KETTERINGWR SORET
★2—00%——
9
KAVON CONCIAUROWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
80
BENJAMIN MOSELEYTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
3
BLAKE ROHRERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
JACK GASKINSTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
89
JACKSON MAGGIOREWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL58PERF56RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL66TAL69PERF66RET90n=10 · 7 METRICS · 53 OBS
▸LB53TAL69PERF53RET100n=5 · 11 METRICS · 41 OBS
▸DB48TAL64PERF48RET34n=7 · 7 METRICS · 30 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SEAN STOVERHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
OBINNA UMEHHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
CJ GIVERSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
TERRY WALKER IIIHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
LYRIK PETTISHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CHADWICKE CANNON JR.HS RECRUITDL★3UNR
BENJAMIN MOSELEYHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
AYDEN CAINHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
KAVON CONCIAUROHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TYSON SANFORDHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN11 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRADEN MILLERCALIFORNIAOT★3★3
DYLAN FLOWERSWESTERN KENTUCKYCB★3★3
JAVEN NICHOLASCHARLOTTEWRUNR★3
CHE OJARIKRESTANFORDSUNR★3
JARED RICHARDSONPENNSYLVANIAWRUNR★3
EVAN SMITHNORTHWESTERNCB★3★3
KYON LOUDMONTANACB★3★3
JONAH BURTONIDAHO STATEWRUNR★3
WILHELM DAAL IIYALERB★3★3
WALKER EGETSAN JOSÉ STATEQB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT33 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DARIAN MENSAHMIAMIQB★2★4
COOPER BARKATEMIAMIWR★3★4
QUE'SEAN BROWNVIRGINIA TECHWR★3★4
MA'KHI JONESFLORIDA STATEDB★3★3
TERRY SIMMONS JR.SOUTH FLORIDADL★3UNR
PEYTON JONESLIBERTYRB★3★3
DESMOND ALADUGEUCONNDT★3★3
HENRY BELIN IVMISSOURI STATEQB★3★3
BRIAN PARKER IINFL DRAFT R6OL★3—
CHANDLER RIVERSNFL DRAFT R5CB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES55%8 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS75%11 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#71NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 15 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8739COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1917 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST22% BACK22th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG22% BACK22th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST34%34th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE