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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGEPRESEASON · NO CHARTED PLAY
SUN BELT|BILLY NAPIER|—RECORD2-0|CONF—
JAMES MADISON68 FPISBC · 2026 SEASON
TALENT
27FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
62%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
7%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+8IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#800 BC / 21
BC RATIO
5%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
No scoring record for this season yet, so there is nothing to compare the win-loss record against.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT57
CONTINUITY62
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT43
CONTINUITY7
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE2 PLAYED · 10 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
27MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
24MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
-3REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 5HLIBERTY—W 20-13432727+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 12HWAGNER—W 87-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 19ASAN DIEGO STATE—UPCOMING364848+10STILL TO COME
4SEP 26AOLD DOMINION—UPCOMING123030+28STILL TO COME
5OCT 3HMARSHALL—UPCOMING301818+40STILL TO COME
6OCT 10AGEORGIA SOUTHERN—UPCOMING443434+24STILL TO COME
7OCT 17HGEORGIA STATE—UPCOMING2333+55STILL TO COME
8OCT 22AAPP STATE—UPCOMING392525+33STILL TO COME
9OCT 29HTROY—UPCOMING312727+31STILL TO COME
10NOV 5ASOUTHERN MISS—UPCOMING321111+47STILL TO COME
11NOV 14AUCONN—UPCOMING472626+32STILL TO COME
13NOV 28HCOASTAL CAROLINA—UPCOMING242121+37STILL TO COME
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB54TAL59PERF54RET1ONE OWNERn=2 · 5 METRICS · 7 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
JC EVANSQB SORET
★3—4157%——
7
CAMDEN COLEMANQB JURET
UNR★33543%—EMERGED
5
ARRINGTON MAIDENQB SOPORTAL · MEMPHIS
★3★300%—HELD
14
TANNER VIBABULQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB56TAL66PERF56RET71ONE OWNERn=3 · 4 METRICS · 12 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
GEORGE PETTAWAYRB SERET
★4★37471%+14FELL
34
SETH CROMWELLRB SEPORTAL · NORTHERN ARIZONA
UNR★32019%—EMERGED
23
NICK HERMANRB SOPORTAL · DRAKE
★2★3610%—ROSE
22
TRASHON DYERB SORET
★3—00%——
27
PHOENIX DONGHIARB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
21
JACKSON MCCARTERRB FRRET
★3—00%——
20
MALACHI FANNIN-RENDERRB FRPORTAL · LIBERTY
UNR★300%—EMERGED
▾WR/TE—TAL53PERF46RET19NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
BRAEDEN WISLOSKIWR SERET
★3★300%+18HELD
16
ARRION CONCEPCIONWR FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
11
NOAH GREVIOUSWR SOPORTAL · VMI
UNR★300%—EMERGED
13
KD MOSLEYTE JUPORTAL · HOWARD
UNR★300%—EMERGED
24
KALEB SMITHWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
43
MILES HALBERTWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
0
COLE KELLERTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
RYDER POSTTE SORET
UNR—00%——
12
ZA'RON COLLINSWR JURET
★3★300%-25HELD
3
COREY SCOTTWR JUPORTAL · WEST FLORIDA
UNR★300%—EMERGED
17
MICHAEL SCOTTWR SORET
★3—00%-10—
2
JAYDEN MINESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
9
DAVI BELFORTWR SOPORTAL · UCF
★3★300%—HELD
18
KYLAN BILLIOTWR SOPORTAL · LSU
★4★300%—FELL
28
MICAH MATTHEWSWR FRPORTAL · VIRGINIA TECH
★4★300%—FELL
88
DYLAN WILLIAMSWR SORET
★3—00%-41—
83
XAVIER MCDONALDWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
86
ETHAN GURELATE FRRET
★3—00%——
84
BRIAN HNATTE FRRET
★3—00%——
15
ELIJAH MOSSWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
30
TRACE BURNEYWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
81
CHASE PENSYLWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
8
JEREMIAH HARRISONWR SOPORTAL · EAST TENNESSEE STATE
UNR★300%—EMERGED
44
MAX ROCHETE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
40
ZION HUDSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
82
THATCHER MILLERTE SEPORTAL · WEST CHESTER
UNR★300%—EMERGED
89
THOMAS GUILLEMETTETE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL38PERF43RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL71TAL39PERF71RET53n=9 · 7 METRICS · 36 OBS
▸LB67TAL32PERF67RET25n=5 · 7 METRICS · 29 OBS
▸DB61TAL42PERF61RET38n=8 · 7 METRICS · 32 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
XAVIER MCDONALDHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KAMDEN JENNINGSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KALEB SMITHHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MAX ROCHEHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
DKWAN THOMASHS RECRUITS★3UNR
TRACE BURNEYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
LARON DUESHS RECRUITS★3UNR
KYLE BYNESHS RECRUITS★3UNR
ELIJAH MOSS-WILLIAMSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
CORY SIMONHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN12 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JEREMIAH HARRISONEAST TENNESSEE STATEWRUNR★3
MICAH MATTHEWSVIRGINIA TECHWR★4★3
ERNEST WILLOR JR.WISCONSINEDGEUNR★3
COREY SCOTTWEST FLORIDAWRUNR★3
KAEDIN MASSEYKANSAS STATEOT★3★3
NOAH GREVIOUSVMIWRUNR★3
JAYON HARVEYFINDLAYCBUNR★3
DAMIER MINKAHSHEPHERDCBUNR★3
DJ FOXWISCONSIN-RIVER FALLSOTUNR★3
KYLAN BILLIOTLSUWR★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT44 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TRENT HENDRICKUCLALBUNRUNR
JUSTIN EAGLINCOLORADODBUNR★3
SAHIR WESTUCLADLUNR★3
AIDEN GOBAIRAUCLADL★4★3
ALONZA BARNETT IIIUCFQB★3★3
WAYNE KNIGHTUCLARBUNR★3
LANDON ELLISUCLAWRUNR★3
IMMANUEL EZEOGUCOLORADODEUNR★3
AYO ADEYIOKLAHOMA STATERBUNR★3
DERRICK BARKSDALEUCLADBUNR★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES36%2 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS48%4 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#80NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8546COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
3931 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST8% BACK8th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG8% BACK8th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR1%1th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST38%38th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE