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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGEPRESEASON · NO CHARTED PLAY
ACC|TONY ELLIOTT|—RECORD2-0|CONF—
VIRGINIA#25 AP 25 FPIACC · 2026 SEASON
TALENT
62FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
40%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
11%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+9IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1110 BC / 15
BC RATIO
13%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
No scoring record for this season yet, so there is nothing to compare the win-loss record against.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT69
CONTINUITY40
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT63
CONTINUITY11
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE2 PLAYED · 10 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
71MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
60MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
-11REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 1PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 29HNC STATE—W 34-8777171+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HNORFOLK STATE—W 59-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 19HWEST VIRGINIA—UPCOMING655555+25STILL TO COME
4SEP 26HDELAWARE—UPCOMING32222+58STILL TO COME
5OCT 3AFLORIDA STATE—UPCOMING856969+11STILL TO COME
6OCT 10HSYRACUSE—UPCOMING755252+28STILL TO COME
7OCT 17ASMU#17UPCOMING788787-7HARDEST REMAINING TIER
8OCT 23HDUKE—UPCOMING506565+15STILL TO COME
9OCT 31AWAKE FOREST—UPCOMING555555+25STILL TO COME
11NOV 14HCALIFORNIA—UPCOMING774747+33STILL TO COME
12NOV 21HNORTH CAROLINA—UPCOMING806464+16STILL TO COME
13NOV 28AVIRGINIA TECH—UPCOMING8180800HARDEST REMAINING TIER
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB74TAL92PERF74RET0ONE OWNERn=1 · 5 METRICS · 5 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
BEAU PRIBULAQB SEPORTAL · MISSOURI
★3★444100%+31ROSE
10
ELI HOLSTEINQB SEPORTAL · PITTSBURGH
★4★300%+23FELL
6
COLE GEERQB SORET
★3—00%——
14
BOONE LOURDQB JURET
★3—00%——
16
ELY HAMRICKQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
17
JAE'OYN WILLIAMSQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB52TAL63PERF52RET51ROTATIONn=5 · 9 METRICS · 29 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
JEKAIL MIDDLEBROOKRB SEPORTAL · MIDDLE TENNESSEE
UNR★38237%-1EMERGED
0
XAVIER BROWNRB SERET
★3—6022%-5—
25
XAY DAVISRB SORET
★3—4616%-21—
2
PEYTON LEWISRB JUPORTAL · TENNESSEE
★4★33312%+3FELL
3
NOAH VAUGHNRB SERET
★3—3312%+17—
28
SOLOMON BEEBERB JUPORTAL · UAB
UNR★300%+30EMERGED
37
JACK STEVENSRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE51TAL72PERF52RET65ROTATIONn=11 · 7 METRICS · 41 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
DAKOTA TWITTYTE SERET
★4—8840%-27—
88
CONNOR COXTE SEPORTAL · NORTH CAROLINA
★3★37529%—HELD
89
JOHN ROGERSTE SORET
★3—6825%+2—
8
TY'LYRIC COLEMANWR SERET
★3—4728%——
18
DA'SHAWN MARTINWR JUPORTAL · KENT STATE
★3★34728%+26HELD
5
KAMERON COURTNEYWR JURET
★3★34425%-2HELD
4
JACQUON GIBSONWR SEPORTAL · MASSACHUSETTS
★2★32211%+1ROSE
94
HAYDEN ROLLISONTE SERET
UNR—104%——
13
JOSIAH ABDULLAHWR SORET
★3—96%——
30
HENRY OMOHUNDROTE JURET
UNR—53%——
85
DYLAN COPEWR FRTRUE FR
★3—03%——
81
TEKAI KIRBYWR SERET
★3—00%——
84
ISAIAH ROBINSONWR SORET
★3—00%——
83
WILLEM THURBERTE SORET
★3—00%——
86
LUKAS UNGARTE SEPORTAL · NEW MEXICO STATE
★4★300%—FELL
22
TYSON DAVISWR SEPORTAL · CENTRAL MICHIGAN
★3★300%+27HELD
11
RICO FLORES JR.WR SEPORTAL · UCLA
★4★300%-3FELL
29
CJ SPENCEWR SORET
★3—00%——
23
TRISTON WARDWR JURET
★3—00%——
82
DAMARI CARTERWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
87
JUSTIN ZAMESTE SORET
★3—00%——
15
DILLON NEWTON-SHORTWR SORET
★3—00%——
80
TREVOR LADDWR JURET
★3—00%——
26
JACK RHODESWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
45
BRAND MORGANWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL62TAL71PERF62RET70n=11 · 2 METRICS · 17 OBS
▸DL62TAL63PERF62RET49n=11 · 7 METRICS · 62 OBS
▸LB45TAL50PERF45RET94n=6 · 11 METRICS · 39 OBS
▸DB52TAL63PERF52RET31n=11 · 7 METRICS · 47 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS7 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DYLAN COPEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DEREK URANHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
ALEX DUNNHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DAMARI CARTERHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
BULL RICHARDSONHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
DALLAS BRANNONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JAYDEN COVILHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN18 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BEAU PRIBULAMISSOURIQB★3★4
MATTHEW FOBBS-WHITEBAYLOREDGE★3★3
ZION WILSONEAST CAROLINADLUNR★3
BRANDYN HILLMANMICHIGANS★4★3
ALEX PAYNEUSCOT★4★3
DA'SHAWN MARTINKENT STATEWR★3★3
NNANNA ANYANWUUTSAEDGEUNR★3
CONNOR COXNORTH CAROLINATE★3★3
JUSTIN ROSSNAVYCB★2★3
JEKAIL MIDDLEBROOKMIDDLE TENNESSEERBUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT41 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EMMANUEL KARNLEYWASHINGTONCB★3★3
JA'SON PREVARDKANSAS STATESUNR★3
TRELL HARRISOKLAHOMAWR★2★4
ELI WOODUTAH STATEWRUNR★3
DAVIS LANERICEWR★3★3
ANDRE GREENE JR.GEORGIA SOUTHERNWR★4★3
TREY MCDONALDMEMPHISLB★3★3
SUDERIAN HARRISONEAST TENNESSEE STATEWR★3★3
JACK WITMERELIGIBILITY UPOL★3—
BRADY WILSONELIGIBILITY UPOL★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES85%9 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS85%12 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#111NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 15 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8592COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
3122 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST14% BACK14th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG14% BACK14th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR70%70th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST31%31th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE