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● LIVE|2026 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGEPRESEASON · NO CHARTED PLAY
BIG 12|DAVE ARANDA|—RECORD1-1|CONF—
BAYLOR35 FPIB12 · 2026 SEASON
TALENT
69FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
17%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
9%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#574 BC / 14
BC RATIO
24%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
No scoring record for this season yet, so there is nothing to compare the win-loss record against.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT88
CONTINUITY17
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT65
CONTINUITY9
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE2 PLAYED · 10 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
79MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
68MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
-11REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 3PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 5AAUBURN—L 16-17887979-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 12HPRAIRIE VIEW A&M—W 44-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 19HLOUISIANA TECH—UPCOMING103838+29STILL TO COME
4SEP 26HCOLORADO—UPCOMING725858+9STILL TO COME
5OCT 3AARIZONA STATE—UPCOMING687070-3HARDEST REMAINING TIER
7OCT 17HTCU—UPCOMING727777-10HARDEST REMAINING TIER
8OCT 24AKANSAS—UPCOMING556060+7STILL TO COME
9OCT 30AUCF—UPCOMING536262+5STILL TO COME
10NOV 7HIOWA STATE—UPCOMING515757+10STILL TO COME
11NOV 14ABYU#15UPCOMING588888-21HARDEST REMAINING TIER
12NOV 21HTEXAS TECH#13UPCOMING809090-23HARDEST REMAINING TIER
13NOV 28AHOUSTON#22UPCOMING597878-11HARDEST REMAINING TIER
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB45TAL98PERF45RET0ONE OWNERn=1 · 5 METRICS · 5 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
DJ LAGWAYQB JUPORTAL · FLORIDA
★5★496100%+10FELL
12
NATE BENNETTQB JURET
★3—00%——
14
EDWARD GRIFFINQB SORET
★3—00%——
17
CADE TESSIERQB SERET
★2—00%——
13
QUINN MURPHYQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB49TAL75PERF49RET41ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 25 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
35
DAWSON PENDERGRASSRB SERET
★3—9959%+24—
11
CADEN KNIGHTENRB SORET
★4—9029%-21—
23
MICHAEL TURNERRB SORET
★4—5112%+4—
25
RYELAN MORRISRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
20
JACOREY WATSONRB SORET
★3—00%——
33
HD DAVISRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE61TAL66PERF60RET66ONE OWNERn=8 · 7 METRICS · 40 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
LOUIS BROWN IVWR SERET
★3★39934%+16HELD
85
MATTHEW KLOPFENSTEINTE SERET
★3—9867%-23—
6
GAVIN FREEMANWR SEPORTAL · OKLAHOMA STATE
★3★39832%+10HELD
3
JADON PORTERWR JURET
★3—9523%-18—
10
TONY LIVINGSTONTE SEPORTAL · FLORIDA
★4★35718%+25FELL
86
HAWKINS POLLEYTE SERET
★3—4515%——
83
DEBRAUN HAMPTONWR JUPORTAL · FLORIDA
UNR★3446%—EMERGED
1
DRE'LON MILLERWR JUPORTAL · COLORADO
★4★3365%-26FELL
15
JAYDEN MCGOWANWR SEPORTAL · CHARLOTTE
★3★300%-3HELD
16
LONDON SMITHWR FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
46
PARKER ALMANZATE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
81
RYNE SHACKELFORDWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
87
ASHTON JONESWR SORET
★3—00%——
34
DAVION PETERSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
84
CHASE COLLIERWR SORET
★3—00%——
80
JACKSON BAIRDWR JURET
UNR—00%——
43
BRODY WILHELMTE SORET
★3—00%——
88
KAI WESLEYTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
89
MICHAEL JOHNSON JR.WR JURET
★4—00%——
32
BRODY DAYWR SORET
UNR—00%——
18
TAZ WILLIAMS JR.WR SORET
★3—00%——
▸OL66TAL59PERF66RET38n=6 · 2 METRICS · 12 OBS
▸DL40TAL69PERF40RET26n=8 · 7 METRICS · 37 OBS
▸LB27TAL67PERF27RET82n=8 · 11 METRICS · 64 OBS
▸DB55TAL72PERF56RET46n=9 · 7 METRICS · 38 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RYELAN MORRISHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
JAE'LIN BATTLEHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
DONEL ROBINSONHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
LONDON SMITHHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DAVION PETERSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAMARION RICHARDSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KAI WESLEYHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
JORDAN DAVISHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JAMARION PHILLIPSHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
QUINN MURPHYHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN11 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DJ LAGWAYFLORIDAQB★5★4
HOSEA WHEELERINDIANADLUNR★4
GARRICK PONDERSOUTHERN MISSEDGEUNR★3
DRE'LON MILLERCOLORADOWR★4★3
NATE KIBBLETEXASIOL★4★3
COLE RHETTTOLEDOOT★3★3
YAKIRI WALKERMEMPHISIOL★3★3
JORDAN MACKCOASTAL CAROLINADLUNR★3
TONY LIVINGSTONFLORIDATE★4★3
HARDLEY GILMORE IVKENTUCKYWR★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT42 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEATON THOMASOLE MISSLBUNR★3
DJ COLEMANFLORIDAS★3★3
EMAR'RION WINSTONARIZONA STATEDL★3★3
MATTHEW FOBBS-WHITEVIRGINIADE★3★3
CALDRA WILLIFORDTULSACB★3★3
BRYSON WASHINGTONAUBURNRB★3★4
DK KALUFLORIDADL★3★3
KAMAURYN MORGANMISSOURIEDGE★4★4
PHOENIX JACKSONARKANSASLBUNR★3
LAKELSEY JOHNSON JR.LIBERTYTE★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES38%2 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS68%7 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#57NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8805COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
3133 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
16TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
1
2
2
6
5
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-0.3 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +9 W
IMPROVED11 OF 16
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST65% BACK65th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG65% BACK65th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR38%38th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST46%46th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE