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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGEPRESEASON · NO CHARTED PLAY
SUN BELT|RYAN BEARD|—RECORD1-1|CONF—
COASTAL CAROLINA111 FPISBC · 2026 SEASON
TALENT
24FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
30%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
13%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-11IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1180 BC / 13
BC RATIO
12%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
No scoring record for this season yet, so there is nothing to compare the win-loss record against.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT55
CONTINUITY30
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT39
CONTINUITY13
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE2 PLAYED · 10 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
55MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
28MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
-27REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 5AWEST VIRGINIA—L 24-31655555-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 12HFORDHAM—W 45-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 19ADELAWARE—UPCOMING32222-1STILL TO COME
4SEP 24HLIBERTY—UPCOMING432727-6STILL TO COME
5OCT 3HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—UPCOMING443434-13STILL TO COME
6OCT 10AMARSHALL—UPCOMING301818+3STILL TO COME
7OCT 16HAPP STATE—UPCOMING392525-4STILL TO COME
9OCT 31AGEORGIA STATE—UPCOMING2333+18STILL TO COME
10NOV 7HOLD DOMINION—UPCOMING123030-9STILL TO COME
11NOV 14HARKANSAS STATE—UPCOMING342727-6STILL TO COME
12NOV 21ALOUISIANA—UPCOMING283434-13STILL TO COME
13NOV 28AJAMES MADISON—UPCOMING275858-37STILL TO COME
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB48TAL52PERF48RET0ONE OWNERn=1 · 5 METRICS · 5 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
DEUCE BAILEYQB FRTRUE FR
★3—91100%+19—
7
TREVER JACKSONQB SOPORTAL · ARKANSAS
★4★300%—FELL
4
TRE GUERRAQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
OSIRIS LOPEZQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
15
LUKE MCBRIDEQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB33TAL57PERF33RET83ROTATIONn=4 · 9 METRICS · 32 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
20
JEVON EDWARDSRB SORET
★3—8244%-6—
23
DOMINIC KNICELYRB SORET
★3—5122%+13—
22
BREYAHN TOWNSENDRB JURET
UNR—4017%-58—
25
JADEN ALLEN-HENDRIXRB SOPORTAL · OKLAHOMA STATE
★3★34017%—HELD
26
DAELEN ALEXANDERRB JUPORTAL · RICE
★3★300%+23HELD
21
KENTE EDWARDSRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
28
JOE OBERRB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE56TAL45PERF55RET49ONE OWNERn=10 · 7 METRICS · 45 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
0
KARMELLO ENGLISHWR SERET
★4★39322%-24FELL
1
ROBBY WASHINGTONWR JURET
★4★39221%+18FELL
8
CLAYTON COPPOCK JR.WR SONO SNAPS
UNR★39120%-7—
3
TRISTIAN GARDNERWR SOPORTAL · MISSOURI STATE
UNR★39120%+33EMERGED
9
CYRUS ELLISONTE SEPORTAL · SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
UNR★36555%—EMERGED
5
GOLDIE LAWRENCEWR JUPORTAL · FLORIDA A&M
★3★3569%—HELD
14
COLTON HINTONWR SERET
UNR★3538%—EMERGED
33
ZACH COURTNEYTE SERET
★3★34839%+1HELD
88
JACKSON KOHLTE FRTRUE FR
★3—03%——
44
BROWN REAVESTE SORET
★3—03%——
82
NATHAN SCHUESSLERWR JURET
UNR—00%——
6
KROSSE JOHNSONWR SOPORTAL · ARKANSAS
★3★300%—HELD
80
TRISHSTIN GLASSWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
81
DWAYNE WHITEWR SORET
★3—00%——
83
KD HAINSWORTHWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
84
JOSHUA PARKERWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
87
JAYDEN JOHNSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
89
TAMARION LAFORTUNEWR SOPORTAL · WESTERN CONNECTICUT STATE
UNR★300%—EMERGED
85
BEN VERGESTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
BRYSON WOODTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL53TAL25PERF53RET60n=5 · 2 METRICS · 10 OBS
▸DL43TAL34PERF44RET18n=11 · 7 METRICS · 62 OBS
▸LB49TAL45PERF49RET7n=4 · 7 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DB53TAL57PERF53RET31n=9 · 7 METRICS · 30 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS7 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ZEKE MARSHALLHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
OSIRIS LOPEZHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
KADARUS HAINSWORTHHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAX POPEHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MICHAEL KNIGHTHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
AIDEN PARKERHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
ROMELLO PATTERSONHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN18 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TREVER JACKSONARKANSASQB★4★3
JALEN LEESOUTH DAKOTA STATESUNR★3
TRISTIAN GARDNERMISSOURI STATEWRUNR★3
DONOVAN GRAYSONSAMFORDEDGEUNR★3
DAELEN ALEXANDERRICERB★3★3
MARCELLIUS PULLIAMMICHIGAN STATELB★3★3
AZAREL JUSTEBRYANTLBUNR★3
APISA POUMELECENTRAL MICHIGANIOLUNR★3
MASON BARTONJACKSON STATEOTUNR★3
DAMILL BOSTIC JR.VILLANOVACBUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT53 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ZEKE DURHAM-CAMPBELLWEST VIRGINIADLUNR★3
LUKE MURPHYUCONNLB★3★3
FREDD ADAMSTARLETON STATECBUNR★2
JA'VIN SIMPKINSUABRB★3★3
JAYDEN BRYANTKANSAS STATEDEUNR★3
BRYSON GRAVESDELAWAREWRUNR★3
JORDAN MACKBAYLORDEUNR★3
DARRION HENRY-YOUNGVIRGINIADT★4★3
ZACH CODYRICECB★3★3
SAMARI COLLIERDELAWARE STATEQB★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES67%10 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS63%10 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#118NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 13 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8470COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
3243 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST23% BACK23th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG23% BACK23th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR60%60th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST31%31th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE