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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGEPRESEASON · NO CHARTED PLAY
BIG TEN|P.J. FLECK|—RECORD1-1|CONF—
MINNESOTA74 FPIB1G · 2026 SEASON
TALENT
71FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
68%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
25%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-1IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#286 BC / 31
BC RATIO
18%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
No scoring record for this season yet, so there is nothing to compare the win-loss record against.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT71
CONTINUITY68
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT72
CONTINUITY25
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE2 PLAYED · 10 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
74MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
68MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
-6REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 4PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HEASTERN ILLINOIS—W 59-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 12HMISSISSIPPI STATE—L 13-38867474-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 19HAKRON—UPCOMING1277+53STILL TO COME
4SEP 26AWASHINGTON#19UPCOMING837777-17HARDEST REMAINING TIER
5OCT 3HMICHIGAN—UPCOMING938282-22HARDEST REMAINING TIER
6OCT 10APURDUE—UPCOMING614545+15STILL TO COME
8OCT 24HIOWA#21UPCOMING698282-22HARDEST REMAINING TIER
9OCT 31AINDIANA#5UPCOMING739797-37HARDEST REMAINING TIER
10NOV 7HUCLA—UPCOMING827373-13HARDEST REMAINING TIER
11NOV 14APENN STATE#16UPCOMING828989-29HARDEST REMAINING TIER
12NOV 21HNORTHWESTERN—UPCOMING577070-10HARDEST REMAINING TIER
13NOV 27AWISCONSIN—UPCOMING795353+7STILL TO COME
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB59TAL65PERF59RET78ONE OWNERn=3 · 5 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
DRAKE LINDSEYQB JURET
★3—6169%+9—
16
BRADY PALMERQB FRTRUE FR
★3—3122%——
6
MAX SHIKENJANSKIQB SERET
★2—128%——
14
DYLAN WITTKEQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
12
MICHAEL MERDINGERQB JUPORTAL · LIBERTY
★3★300%+27HELD
15
OWEN LANSUQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB59TAL82PERF59RET53ROTATIONn=6 · 9 METRICS · 42 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
DARIUS TAYLORRB SERET
★4—9244%+4—
23
TJ THOMASRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—7628%——
20
RYAN ESTRADARB FRTRUE FR
★4—3311%——
9
XAVIER FORDRB SORET
★3—269%+12—
28
NIKO CASTILLORB FRTRUE FR
★3—207%——
22
JARON THOMASRB SOPORTAL · PURDUE
★3★302%—HELD
2
A.J. TURNERRB SERET
★3★300%+35HELD
21
GRANT WASHINGTONRB SORET
★3—00%+29—
26
ZEKE BATESRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE45TAL71PERF45RET48ROTATIONn=14 · 7 METRICS · 66 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
JALEN SMITHWR JURET
★3—7521%+16—
11
JAVON TRACYWR SERET
★3★37521%+11HELD
19
PIERCE WALSHTE SERET
★3—7326%-44—
13
NOAH JENNINGSWR SEPORTAL · CINCINNATI
UNR★37220%+5EMERGED
88
JACOB SIMPSONTE JURET
★3—6221%——
44
GEORGE ROHLTE FRTRUE FR
★3—5217%——
84
HAYDEN MOOREWR FRTRUE FR
★3—5012%——
89
QUAYD HENDRYXWR FRTRUE FR
★4—5012%——
87
KADEN HELMSTE SEPORTAL · OKLAHOMA
★4★34515%-44FELL
25
ZION STEPTOEWR SEPORTAL · TULSA
★3★3367%-1HELD
7
BRADLEY MARTINOWR SORET
★4—367%——
4
ROMAN VOSSTE FRTRUE FR
★4—3110%——
82
JULIAN JOHNSONTE JURET
★3—259%——
83
SAM PETERSTE SERET
★3—52%——
18
DONIELLE HAYESWR SERET
★3—00%——
3
PERRY THOMPSONWR JUPORTAL · AUBURN
★4★400%-22HELD
85
RICO BLASSINGAMEWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
81
JOSIAH DOZIERWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
86
GABE WEAVERTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
24
BRAIDEN STEVENSWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▸OL59TAL66PERF59RET58n=12 · 2 METRICS · 24 OBS
▸DL67TAL76PERF67RET51n=14 · 7 METRICS · 64 OBS
▸LB69TAL56PERF69RET93n=9 · 11 METRICS · 49 OBS
▸DB49TAL69PERF49RET68n=8 · 6 METRICS · 22 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AADEN AYTCHHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
HOWIE JOHNSONHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
QUAYD HENDRYXHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
ROMAN VOSSHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
RYAN ESTRADAHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
ANDREW TROUTHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
GAVIN MEIERHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JUSTIN HOPKINSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
RICO BLASSINGAMEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
LAMONT HAMILTONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN6 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
XION CHAPMANFLORIDA INTERNATIONALDLUNR★4
PERRY THOMPSONAUBURNWR★4★4
SID KABAMARSHALLDL★3★3
TJ BUSH JR.CALIFORNIAEDGE★3★3
AYDAN WESTMICHIGAN STATECB★3★3
BENNETT WARRENTENNESSEEOT★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT28 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KOI PERICHOREGONDB★4★4
FAME IJEBOIPURDUERB★3★3
MALACHI COLEMANWISCONSINWR★4★3
JAYLEN BOWDENEAST CAROLINADBUNR★3
HARRISON BRUNSOUTH DAKOTADB★2★2
DEVEN EASTERNNFL DRAFT R7DL★4—
DYLAN RAYELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
DEVON WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
MARCELLUS MARSHALLELIGIBILITY UPOL★3—
DARIUS GREENELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES87%9 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS85%13 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#28NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
6OF 31 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8766COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1920 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST68% BACK68th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG68% BACK68th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR58%58th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR78%78th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST68%68th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE