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● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
SEC|ELI DRINKWITZ|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
MISSOURI#22 AP 20 FPISEC · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
87FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
68%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
62%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-4IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#208 BC / 23
BC RATIO
34%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
9-3ACTUALvs8.5-3.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD5-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+9.0
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE67
PERFORMANCE67
TALENT84
CONTINUITY68
DEFENSE86
PERFORMANCE86
TALENT78
CONTINUITY62
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
66MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 29HMURRAY STATE—W 51-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7HBUFFALO—W 38-093535+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HBOSTON COLLEGE—W 27-21584848+38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HVANDERBILT—W 30-27646262+24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5ATEXAS A&M—L 10-41969191-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12AMASSACHUSETTS—W 45-34144+82BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HAUBURN—W 21-17887676+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AALABAMA#17L 0-341009898-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HOKLAHOMA—W 30-23957676+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16ASOUTH CAROLINA#19L 30-34859090-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AMISSISSIPPI STATE—W 39-20763535+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HARKANSAS—W 28-21828383+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 30HIOWA—W 27-24728989-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB30TAL58PERF30RET80ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 10 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
BRADY COOKQB SERET
★3—8580%+28—
9
DREW PYNEQB SEPORTAL · ARIZONA STATE
★4★36220%-1FELL
17
JR BLOODQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
SAM HORNQB JURET
★4—00%——
15
TOMMY LOCKQB SERET
UNR—00%——
14
BRETT BROWNQB SERET
UNR—00%——
13
AIDAN GLOVERQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB43TAL84PERF43RET18ROTATIONn=4 · 9 METRICS · 21 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
NATE NOELRB SEPORTAL · APP STATE
★3★39143%+12HELD
9
MARCUS CARROLLRB SEPORTAL · GEORGIA STATE
★3★38431%-2HELD
20
JAMAL ROBERTSRB SERET
★3—7218%+29—
5
KEWAN LACYRB JUNO SNAPS
★4★3455%-32FELL
0
TAVORUS JONESRB JURET
★4★3333%-48FELL
26
BRADY HULTMANRB SEPORTAL · WYOMING
★2★240%—HELD
38
CHRISTOPHER KREHRB JURET
UNR—00%——
31
ANTHONY FAVROWRB SERET
UNR—00%——
14
AUSTYN DENDYRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
33
BRYCE JACKSONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE65TAL83PERF63RET90ROTATIONn=9 · 7 METRICS · 55 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
THEO WEASE JR.WR SERET
★5—9224%+11—
3
LUTHER BURDEN IIIWR JURET
★5—8821%+13—
86
JORDON HARRISTE SERET
★3—8242%-38—
87
BRETT NORFLEETTE SERET
★4—8242%+10—
5
MOOKIE COOPERWR SERET
★4★37414%-21FELL
6
MEKHI MILLERWR SERET
★3★37413%+5HELD
5
JOSH MANNINGWR SERET
★4★37112%+10—
2
MARQUIS JOHNSONWR SERET
★3★4689%+36ROSE
1
DANIEL BLOODWR SERET
★3★3585%-32HELD
80
TYLER STEPHENSTE SERET
★3—5714%-6—
89
JUDE JAMESTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—262%——
82
LOGAN MUCKEYWR SERET
UNR—241%——
17
JAMES MADISON IIWR SONO SNAPS
★4★3180%—FELL
1
COURTNEY CRUTCHFIELDWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
88
TUCKER MILLERTE SORET
★3—00%——
81
NOAH FLASKAMPWR SERET
UNR—00%——
40
DEREK BRANDTWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
ADAM MOLITORTE JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
80
JAYDEN BOLTONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL64TAL86PERF64RET61n=7 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL70TAL77PERF70RET40n=11 · 7 METRICS · 51 OBS
▸LB69TAL45PERF69RET73n=5 · 9 METRICS · 27 OBS
▸DB59TAL83PERF59RET78n=8 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WILLIAMS NWANERIHS RECRUITDL★5UNR
COURTNEY CRUTCHFIELDHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
TRAJEN GRECOHS RECRUITS★4UNR
KEWAN LACYHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
ELIAS WILLIAMSHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
JAYLEN BROWNHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
BRIAN HUFFHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
JAMES MADISON IIHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
CAMERON KEYSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JAREN SENSABAUGHHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN11 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CAYDEN GREENOKLAHOMAOT★4★4
TORIANO PRIDE JR.CLEMSONCB★4★4
JEREMIAH BEASLEYMICHIGANLB★4★4
DARRIS SMITHGEORGIAEDGE★4★4
MARCUS CARROLLGEORGIA STATERB★3★3
ZION YOUNGMICHIGAN STATEEDGE★3★3
CHRIS MCCLELLANFLORIDADL★4★3
STERLING WEBBNEW MEXICO STATEDL★2★3
NATE NOELAPP STATERB★3★3
MARCUS BRYANTSMUOT★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAMEON WILSONEAST CAROLINALB★3★3
EJ NDOMA-OGARARKANSAS STATEOL★4★3
MAX WHISNERAKRONTE★3★3
JAVON FOSTERNFL DRAFT R4OL★3—
KRIS ABRAMS-DRAINENFL DRAFT R5DB★3—
JAYLON CARLIESNFL DRAFT R5DB★3—
TY'RON HOPPERNFL DRAFT R3LB★4—
DARIUS ROBINSONNFL DRAFT R1DL★3—
ENNIS RAKESTRAW JR.NFL DRAFT R2DB★3—
XAVIER DELGADOELIGIBILITY UPOL★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES74%3 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS12%3 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#20NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
8OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8847COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1519 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST66% BACK66th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG66% BACK66th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR61%61th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR80%80th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST78%78th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE