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● LIVE|2026 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGEPRESEASON · NO CHARTED PLAY
MID-AMERICAN|MIKE UREMOVICH|—RECORD1-1|CONF—
BALL STATE131 FPIMAC · 2026 SEASON
TALENT
18FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
22%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
26%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+8IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1130 BC / 19
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
No scoring record for this season yet, so there is nothing to compare the win-loss record against.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT41
CONTINUITY22
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT24
CONTINUITY26
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE2 PLAYED · 10 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
99MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
19MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
-80REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 5AOHIO STATE#1L 3-56979999-94BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 12HSTONY BROOK—W 41-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 19ALIBERTY—UPCOMING432727-22STILL TO COME
4SEP 26AKENT STATE—UPCOMING644+1STILL TO COME
5OCT 3HTOLEDO—UPCOMING163939-34STILL TO COME
6OCT 10ANORTHWESTERN—UPCOMING577070-65HARDEST REMAINING TIER
7OCT 17ABOWLING GREEN—UPCOMING2077-2STILL TO COME
8OCT 24HSACRAMENTO STATE—UPCOMING1822+3STILL TO COME
10NOV 4AMASSACHUSETTS—UPCOMING711+4STILL TO COME
11NOV 11HBUFFALO—UPCOMING131515-10STILL TO COME
12NOV 17AOHIO—UPCOMING71818-13STILL TO COME
13NOV 28HCENTRAL MICHIGAN—UPCOMING999-4STILL TO COME
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB51TAL47PERF51RET0ONE OWNERn=2 · 5 METRICS · 6 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
KELDRIC LUSTERQB JUPORTAL · TEXAS STATE
★3★38490%-56HELD
9
TYLER MIZZELLQB JUPORTAL · CONCORD
UNR★31710%—EMERGED
18
BODIE DERRERQB SORET
UNR—00%——
13
KHALEL WRIGHTQB FRRET
★3—00%——
16
MASON ATKINSQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB38TAL23PERF38RET73ROTATIONn=4 · 9 METRICS · 36 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
TJ HORTONRB JURET
★3—6436%-41—
20
JOHNNY THOMPSON JR.RB JUPORTAL · KANSAS
★3★35127%+1HELD
2
JALEN BONDSRB FRRET
★2—4021%-62—
0
ELIJAH JACKSONRB JURET
UNR★32615%+36EMERGED
25
CHAR'RESE BREVEARDRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
21
ANTHONY MCMULLEN JR.RB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE36TAL33PERF35RET66ONE OWNERn=13 · 7 METRICS · 51 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
84
TATE HOOVERTE JURET
UNR—8556%——
1
DONOVAN HAMILTONWR SORET
★3★38224%-16HELD
10
JAMARION MCDOUGLEWR SERET
★3—7722%——
11
ISAIAH THACKERWR JURET
★3—7220%——
12
ALEX SCHERLETE SEPORTAL · RICE
UNR★36032%—EMERGED
7
CJ NELSONWR SEPORTAL · EASTERN ILLINOIS
★3★35312%—HELD
3
COREY THOMPSON JR.WR JUPORTAL · UTAH STATE
UNR★35011%-58EMERGED
8
MASON RIGGINSTE FRRET
★2—2212%——
14
ELISHA DURHAMWR SORET
★3—224%——
85
ACE COOPERWR FRTRUE FR
★3—163%——
15
TAYSHON BARDOWR FRTRUE FR
★3—92%——
83
ELI HOHLTWR JURET
UNR—92%——
5
JABARI SMITH JR.WR JUPORTAL · FLORIDA ATLANTIC
★3★300%+33HELD
89
SEAN WARDTE SEPORTAL · DARTMOUTH
UNR★300%—EMERGED
81
LEO COLLINSTE JURET
UNR—00%——
80
DERION TALBERTWR FRRET
★3—00%——
41
ZACH BECKERTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
42
AJ SEYMOURTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
44
LUCAS ANDRESENTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
87
COLE COONRODTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
DJ YOUNGWR JUPORTAL · SIENA HEIGHTS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
82
TJ BYARDWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL33TAL27PERF33RET40n=6 · 2 METRICS · 12 OBS
▸DL42TAL28PERF42RET45n=15 · 7 METRICS · 73 OBS
▸LB42TAL25PERF42RET28n=9 · 11 METRICS · 44 OBS
▸DB39TAL30PERF39RET31n=13 · 7 METRICS · 53 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS12 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TAYSHON BARDOHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MARK HANNIFORDHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MASON ATKINSHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
STONE PERKINSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ACE COOPERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
EVAN DOWNERHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
ZYON HILLHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CHAR'RESE BREVEARDHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
BRADY WEBERHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
ZACH BECKERHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN13 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JACOB JEUDYCONCORD UNIVERSITYIOLUNR★3
TYLER MIZZELLCONCORD UNIVERSITYQBUNR★3
TYLER MIZZELLCONCORDQBUNR★3
JABARI SMITH JR.FLORIDA ATLANTICWR★3★3
JARED BADIESAN DIEGO STATEEDGE★3★3
JACOB JEUDYCONCORDIOLUNR★3
KENDRICK GILBERTLOUISVILLEDL★4★3
COREY THOMPSON JR.UTAH STATEWRUNR★3
DJ YOUNGSIENA HEIGHTSWRUNR★3
KEILAN SMITHCINCINNATIDLUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT38 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DARIN CONLEYWASHINGTONDL★3★3
ROMAN PEARSONKANSASCBUNR★3
JAHMAD HARMONMASSACHUSETTSS★2★3
ASHTON WHITNERLIBERTYS★3★3
DEJUAN ECHOLES JR.WESTERN MICHIGANDE★2★3
ERIC MCCLAINNEW MEXICOCB★3★3
MICAH WINGNEW HAMPSHIRELB★3★3
QUA ASHLEYTENNESSEE TECHRBUNR★3
ERIC WEATHERLYTENNESSEE TECHWR★3★3
TY ROBINSONILLINOISWR★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES2%2 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS13%4 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#113NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8428COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2618 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST17% BACK17th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG17% BACK17th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR40%40th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST31%31th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE