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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGEPRESEASON · NO CHARTED PLAY
SUN BELT|TONY GIBSON|—RECORD1-1|CONF—
MARSHALL121 FPISBC · 2026 SEASON
TALENT
30FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
89%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
16%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+7IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1230 BC / 17
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
No scoring record for this season yet, so there is nothing to compare the win-loss record against.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT43
CONTINUITY89
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT40
CONTINUITY16
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE2 PLAYED · 10 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
47MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
22MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
-25REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 5APENN STATE#16L 0-45828989-71BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 12HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 28-262155+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 19AMISSOURI STATE—UPCOMING141010+8STILL TO COME
4SEP 26HGARDNER-WEBB—UPCOMING————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5OCT 3AJAMES MADISON—UPCOMING275858-40STILL TO COME
6OCT 10HCOASTAL CAROLINA—UPCOMING242121-3STILL TO COME
8OCT 20HSOUTH ALABAMA—UPCOMING232020-2STILL TO COME
9OCT 31AOLD DOMINION—UPCOMING123030-12STILL TO COME
10NOV 7AGEORGIA SOUTHERN—UPCOMING443434-16STILL TO COME
11NOV 14HAPP STATE—UPCOMING392525-7STILL TO COME
12NOV 21HGEORGIA STATE—UPCOMING2333+15STILL TO COME
13NOV 28AUL MONROE—UPCOMING400+18STILL TO COME
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB69TAL41PERF69RET100ONE OWNERn=3 · 5 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
CARLOS DEL RIO-WILSONQB SERET
★4★36790%-17FELL
1
ZION TURNERQB SERET
★3★31210%-31HELD
4
KHALIL WILKINSQB SOPORTAL · WEST VIRGINIA
★3★300%-55HELD
12
KOI FAGANQB FRRET
★3—00%——
17
DYLAN BARBERQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB32TAL55PERF32RET70ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 29 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
JO'SHON BARBIERB SERET
UNR★36765%-41EMERGED
22
ANTHONY QUINN JR.RB FRRET
★3—1315%——
21
TJ LESTERRB SONO SNAPS
UNR★31315%——
10
JUDAH PRICERB SORET
UNR—05%-22—
▾WR/TE48TAL18PERF47RET72ONE OWNERn=9 · 7 METRICS · 32 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
81
TOBY PAYNETE SERET
★2—9495%-7—
5
XAYVION TURNER-BRADSHAWWR SERET
★3★38229%+31HELD
20
OWEN SWEENEYWR SOPORTAL · VMI
UNR—7525%——
2
ADRIAN NORTONWR SERET
★3★37224%+16HELD
3
CHRIS CULLIVERWR JUPORTAL · NORTH CAROLINA
★4★34411%+21FELL
0
DE'ANDRE TAMAREZWR SERET
UNR—225%+1—
15
JOSIAH MCLAURINWR SOPORTAL · MARYLAND
★3★3164%—HELD
9
CHRISTIAN HAMILTONWR JUPORTAL · WEST VIRGINIA
★4★393%+3FELL
80
SHAWN ROUSETE JURET
UNR—55%——
19
TONY MARTINWR JURET
★3—00%——
85
TRACY STEPHENSTE JURET
UNR—00%——
18
JUSTIN HAGGERTYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
8
SHERONE WHITE JR.WR SORET
★3—00%——
23
CHASE MASSEYWR SORET
UNR—00%——
11
DREW WILLIAMSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
13
BRENNAN CHAMBERSWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
16
JALYN ABERCROMBIEWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
86
BRANDON HETTWERTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
24
AIDEN BURKEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
84
NICO WIEDMANNWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL55TAL33PERF55RET40n=11 · 2 METRICS · 22 OBS
▸DL52TAL44PERF52RET22n=9 · 7 METRICS · 46 OBS
▸LB51TAL53PERF51RET82n=7 · 7 METRICS · 39 OBS
▸DB44TAL41PERF44RET36n=10 · 7 METRICS · 34 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS9 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JUSTYN LYLESHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
CADEN TURNERHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
BRENNAN CHAMBERSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ANDRE PARKERHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JAE'VON WHITEHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JAYCEE HOUSTONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
TRISTAN LESTERHS RECRUITS★3UNR
ZEKE GUNNHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
DREW WILLIAMSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN16 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHRISTIAN HAMILTONWEST VIRGINIAWR★4★3
KEYDEL PAINTERVIRGINIA UNIONEDGEUNR★3
ROBBY MARTINWEST VIRGINIAIOL★3★3
BRAYDEN HALLCENTRAL CONNECTICUTCBUNR★3
TERRY NWABUISI-EZEALAVANDERBILTDL★3★3
JAQUEZ JOINERUCFIOL★3★3
JAMARION WILCOXKENTUCKYRB★3★3
TERRENTE HINTONNC STATESUNR★3
JOSIAH MCLAURINMARYLANDRB★3★3
COLE FUNDERBURKWAKE FORESTEDGE★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT39 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
PAUL HUTSON IIIWASHINGTON STATEDT★3★3
DARRELL SWEETINGUABDB★3★3
JAMAAL WHYCE JR.BAYLORDL★3★3
NAQUAN CROWDERMINNESOTADLUNR★3
KATRON EVANSNC STATEOL★4★3
ANTWAN ROBERTS JR.ARIZONARB★3★3
SID KABAMINNESOTADL★3★3
MICHAEL ALLENEAST CAROLINARB★4★4
JUSTIN WILLIAMS-THOMASMASSACHUSETTSRB★4★3
JAYDEN JOHNSONTOWSONLB★3UNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES37%4 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS13%3 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#123NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8388COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2922 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST75% BACK75th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG75% BACK75th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR40%40th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST36%36th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE