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● LIVE|2026 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGEPRESEASON · NO CHARTED PLAY
PAC-12|BRONCO MENDENHALL|—RECORD0-2|CONF—
UTAH STATE95 FPIPAC · 2026 SEASON
TALENT
11FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
36%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
47%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+10IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#970 BC / 20
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
No scoring record for this season yet, so there is nothing to compare the win-loss record against.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT29
CONTINUITY36
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT31
CONTINUITY47
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE2 PLAYED · 9 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
77MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
45MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
-32REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 1PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 5HIDAHO STATE—L 17-29————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 12AWASHINGTON#19L 14-16837777-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 19AUTAH#20UPCOMING588585-58HARDEST REMAINING TIER
4SEP 26HTROY—UPCOMING3127270STILL TO COME
5OCT 3ABOISE STATE—UPCOMING476565-38STILL TO COME
6OCT 9HWASHINGTON STATE—UPCOMING423030-3STILL TO COME
8OCT 24ATEXAS STATE—UPCOMING413535-8STILL TO COME
9OCT 31HCOLORADO STATE—UPCOMING463232-5STILL TO COME
10NOV 7HFRESNO STATE—UPCOMING374646-19STILL TO COME
11NOV 14ASAN DIEGO STATE—UPCOMING364848-21STILL TO COME
12NOV 21AOREGON STATE—UPCOMING453939-12STILL TO COME
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB44TAL33PERF44RET0ONE OWNERn=2 · 5 METRICS · 10 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
MCCAE HILLSTEADQB JUPORTAL · BYU
★3★38567%-32HELD
9
GRADY BROSTERHOUSQB SEPORTAL · VIRGINIA
UNR★35033%—EMERGED
16
BRYSON BARNESQB SERET
UNR★300%+1EMERGED
3
JACOB CONOVERQB SERET
★4★300%-46FELL
KALEB MARYLANDQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
BRADY GOODMANQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
17
CREW CACCIACARNEQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB53TAL18PERF53RET100ONE OWNERn=3 · 4 METRICS · 12 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
JAVEN JACOBSRB JURET
★3★38583%+23HELD
23
NOAH WHITERB FRRET
UNR—1313%-56—
28
NEHEMIAH WASHINGTONRB FRRET
★3—04%——
10
SESI VAILAHIRB JUPORTAL · OKLAHOMA STATE
★3★300%-33HELD
20
TRE KOFERB FRRET
★2—00%——
25
RAVIAN LARRYRB FRRET
★3—00%——
CLYDE TAULAPAPARB FRRET
UNR—00%——
JT WHITERB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL33PERF38RET17NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
REX HAYNESWR JUPORTAL · ARIZONA
★3★300%—HELD
1
ANTHONY GARCIAWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
0
JAVON ROBINSONWR SEPORTAL · GEORGIA STATE
UNR★300%-4EMERGED
18
KACHE KAIOTE SORET
UNR—00%——
11
COLLIN REMENOWKSYTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
ELI WOODWR SEPORTAL · VIRGINIA
UNR★300%+29EMERGED
81
NIKKO BONCOREWR FRRET
★3—00%——
6
DEMICK STARLINGWR SERET
★3★300%+32HELD
87
BROC LANETE SERET
★3—00%-12—
83
JOSH STERZERTE SERET
★2—00%-11—
19
CHASE TUATAGALOATE JURET
★3—00%——
JACKSON OLSENWR SORET
★3—00%——
7
KAHANU DAVISWR SERET
UNR—00%-33—
88
JUDE NELSONTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
15
TY OLSENWR FRRET
★3—00%——
16
L.J. JOHNSON JR.WR SOPORTAL · TEXAS STATE
★3★300%—HELD
12
KAINA WATSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
TRENT CALLWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
PRESTON MCDANIELTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
17
CADE BAKERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
KYLE LIVELYTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
CADE MCCALLWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
13
TALAN ARNETTWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
14
CHARLIE HOLBROOKWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
MAVRIK CHLARSONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
TYLER MASDEATE SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%——
BRONCO WINTERTONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL15PERF33RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL26TAL9PERF26RET100n=3 · 7 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸LB42TAL58PERF42RET34n=6 · 11 METRICS · 40 OBS
▸DB43TAL33PERF43RET39n=6 · 7 METRICS · 26 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
VILIAMI TAPA'ATOUTAIHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
DONTAE DYSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
BRODY FLORESHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JUDE NELSONHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
LUKE BAKERHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JOHN MCCLELLANHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
KAINA WATSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KALEB MARYLANDHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
PRESTON MCDANIELHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
O'SHEA JACKSON-WEBBHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN12 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ANTONIO BLUIETTNORTH DAKOTACBUNR★3
JAMES JENNETTEVIRGINIA TECHEDGEUNR★3
HARRISON TAGGARTCALIFORNIALB★4★3
SESI VAILAHIOKLAHOMA STATERB★3★3
ELI WOODVIRGINIAWRUNR★3
JEREMIAH HOLMESTHE CITADELEDGEUNR★3
DAVID KABONGOOKLAHOMA STATES★3★3
KASEN LONGTEXAS TECHDL★3★3
JAVON ROBINSONGEORGIA STATEWRUNR★3
L.J. JOHNSON JR.TEXAS STATEWR★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT17 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WILL HOLMESILLINOISLBUNR★3
BRADEN PEGANUTAHWR★3★4
NOAH FLORESARKANSAS STATECBUNRUNR
GIO KAFENTZISPORTLAND STATES★3★3
TITAN SAXTONIDAHO STATESUNRUNR
TYMERE BURTONSOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATELBUNR★3
CARL NESMITHDELAWARE STATELBUNR★3
JOHN GAYERROBERT MORRISLBUNR★2
CJ TILLERUTAH TECHQB★3★3
NOAH AVINGERELIGIBILITY UPCB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES37%4 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS59%4 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#97NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8483COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2919 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST71% BACK71th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG71% BACK71th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST39%39th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE